Thursday 7th December 2017 – Sunday 10th December 2017

Hi all,

Apologies for the delay today I’ve been exploring the Manchester Christmas Markets and of course the food and beer. So then, a lot of hype this week about colder weather coming and whether it will snow or not and if yes, then how much and where, etc. etc. Interesting times ahead, tricky forecasting times ahead and one thing for sure, cold times ahead. Brrrrr.

Thursday: Storm Caroline brings early heavy, perhaps squally rain, which clears quickly. It will be windy and after a very mild start it will become colder and colder. Sunny spells will arrive with the Arctic air then showers will get going later into the afternoon which will start to turn wintry. Later in the evening and overnight sleet and snow showers will push down from the northwest on a stiff, bitterly cold wind. Don’t be surprised to see a covering of snow on Friday morning. Max 11°C occurring in the morning falling to 6°C by mid-afternoon.

Tit

Snow showers pushing down on a bitter NW’ly wind on Thursday night into Friday

Friday: Sleet and snow showers will become confined to western parts and most of us will enjoy some sunshine. It will feel very cold with a significant wind-chill. Max 2°C but feeling more like -3°C. Frost settling in overnight.

Weekend: Plenty of sunshine then a chance of snow.

Saturday: Frosty early and late with sunny spells during the day. Just a chance of a wintry shower to the west where it could be cloudier. Max 4°C

A chance of snow arriving from the southwest on Sunday but details far from certain

Sunday: A forecasters’ nightmare at the moment and be aware things could change. The current model output suggests a dry start but very cold with temperatures close to freezing. Rain coming in from the west or southwest towards midday will engage with the cold air and turn to snow. Some heavy snow looks possible but details at this stage are not certain, i.e. the band of rain/snow could stay away further south, so look out for further updates this week on Twitter. Low-lying areas (under 100M) more prone to sleet but travel disruption could occur in locations above this height. Max 2°C

Outlook: It will remain cold or very cold for the foreseeable with night frosts. There is another chance of snow on Thursday but again details can only be firmed up nearer the time. The cold spell is here to stay.

So to summarise we have a good chance of some snow Thursday into early Friday and also on Sunday.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for up to date forecasts and the latest on the possible snow.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 9:50pm on Wednesday the 6th of December 2017

Images: http://wxcharts.eu

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Thursday 23rd of November 2017 – Sunday 26th November 2017

Hi all,

Well hello weather, we welcomed back our typical Autumn this week, with an inch of rain falling in the first few days. We’ve also had a bit more snow-talk on the grapevine and this time there is some truth in the rumours. No no, don’t get your sledges out just yet, just be ready for a cold weekend with a risk of wintry showers.

Thursday: A mild start with some bright spells but showers will start to appear as the day progresses. Remaining windy and slowly becoming colder. Max 9°C

Friday: A better day and hopefully we will escape with a dry one with sunny spells. It will feel colder again with temperatures really struggling, leading to a slight frost overnight. Max 6°C

Weekend: Cold and breezy with wintry showers and some night-time frosts.

Wintry Showers

Wintry showers, some falling as snow especially on Saturday

Saturday: A bitter day with some bright spells and wintry showers which will could fall as hail or sleet. Some snow showers are possible, in any heavier bursts and certainly more likely on higher ground. Max 5°C

Sunday: More in the way of sunshine with a few wintry showers left over, but there shouldn’t be as many as Saturday. Still cold, especially with the freshening breeze ahead of rain due late-evening and overnight. Max 6°C

Outlook: A touch milder with some rain but then it seems the colder air returns and with it the risk of wintry showers and overnight frosts.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday 22nd of November 2017 at 11:35am.
Image: http://wxcharts.eu/

Thursday 16th November 2017 – Sunday 19th November 2017

Hi all,

The chilly feel has continued in November and although we’ve had a few days here and there with milder, damp weather, there’s not been a continous deluge of rain. Currently we’ve only had 29mm (102mm is the monthly average). Is the colder weather a sign of things to come? With La Nina underway there is an increased chance of a colder start to winter. See Liam Dutton’s video for more, La Nina.

Not only is Liam’s video informative, it is also keeping it real.

The latest Daily Express headline is more of their clickbait tactics, with over-the-top headlines and untrue statements.

BS

Moving on……

November Stats so far:

Nov 2017

Thursday: A band of patchy rain will move southeastwards during the morning and early afternoon to be replaced by sunny skies and drier conditions but with it, colder air. Max 10°C

Friday: High pressure out west so a settled day with sunny spells and a cold northwesterly breeze. Just the odd shower possible. Max 9°C

Saturday: A breezy day with perhaps a spell of cloud and light rain for a time in the morning. Bright spells developing later with a few showers and still cold. Max 8°C

Sunday: A bright, cold start, perhaps frosty, then cloud increasing with some milder air coming in from the west bringing with it rain as we get into the late-afternoon and evening. Max 8°C

Outlook: Dull and damp on Monday but hopefully drier and brighter thereafter, as high pressure builds. This increases the risk of fog and frost. No snow on the horizon but it will remain cold with temperatures struggling to double-figures.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up to date with the forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 15th November 2017 at 12:30pm

Thursday 9th of November 2017 – Sunday 12th of November 2017

Hi all,

Yep the media are still at it. Anyone got their sledges out? Nope. The weather does have a chill about it, already, but it is anyone’s guess what winter will bring.

Thursday: A cloudy start with milder air back again across the region. Some rain likely in the morning but patchy in nature. This will ease away and some bright spells will break out and lead to a drier afternoon. Max 11°C

Friday: A cloudy and breezy day with bright spells and some showers especially so in the morning. A band of rain moving through overnight. Max 10°C

Weekend: Cold, especially in the wind.

Saturday: A northwesterly airflow will take hold over the UK this weekend and it will feel cold. We’ll see some brightness on Saturday, but also some showers blown in on that keen breeze. Max 9°C

Sunday: A drier day is expected with sunny spells and a few lingering showers. Remaining cold with a frost likely overnight as skies clear. Max 9°C

Outlook: Slowly becoming less cold and cloudier after a decent Monday. Temperatures close or just below average. No sign of any snowfall or any named-storm on the horizon. We could become stuck under a cloudy-high, which means little sunshine but very settled conditions.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest localised forecasts.

You can also view hourly weather stats tweets at @OldhamWxStats and 1-minute data updates from my personal weather station on Wunderground.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 4:30pm on Wednesday the 8th of November
Image: wxcharts

Thursday 2nd November 2017 – Sunday 5th November 2017

Hi all,

Winter is still on the horizon but after a frost this week and a chilly outlook, it will be here sooner, rather than later. A lot of media stories this week; “Coldest Winter in 11 years” etc. etc. Just ignore them. It’s complete guesswork. No-one knows what this winter will bring. Got to love their annual BS.

Thursday: A mostly cloudy start with a risk of some patchy rain moving through but it will soon clear to leave a decent day with plenty of sunny spells and dry. Good news for those off to the Big Bang at Oldham Edge in the evening. Max 12°C

Friday: Cloudy with some light rain or drizzle dotted about especially so into the evening. Some bright spells can’t be ruled out in the odd sheltered location during the morning. Rain overnight. Max 11°C

Colder than average this weekend

Colder than average this weekend

Saturday: Any early morning rain clearing then colder with bright spells and showers which could fall as hail. Feeling cold in a gusty northwesterly wind. Max 9°C

Sunday: Bright spells after a chilly start. Risk of some showers on the keen breeze but these should ease as the day progresses. Remaining cold with temperatures just below average and a frost likely overnight. Max 9°C

Outlook for the rest of next week: High pressure builds from the west, so plenty of dry, settled weather. Not bad during daylight hours with light winds and sunny spells. Some patchy frost and fog overnight. Just one exception is Tuesday where we could have a narrowing band of rain and wind sweep through quickly.

October 2017

Max 19.4°C (16th)
Min 0.9°C (30th)
Av. 11.6°C
Wettest 21.4mm
Windiest 44mph
Rain 105.6mm
Rainy Days 20
Dry Days 11

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecast for your area.

Cheers
Jon

Images: www.wxcharts.eu
Forecast Issued at 8pm on Wednesday the 1st of November 2017

Thursday 12th October 2017 – Sunday 15th October 2017

Hi all,

I’m back from a superb golfing holiday in Spain. If you missed the photos, the weather was amazing. Four days of 27-30°C and plenty of sunshine. Remind me again why I live in the UK. 😦 At least we will see some warmer air in time for the weekend.

Thursday: After a poor Wednesday, a much better day with plenty of sunny spells after a chilly start. Cloud will bubble up during the day but it will remain dry with lighter winds. Fresher. Max 15°C

Friday: That warmer air mass starts to arrive but with it rain at times on a keen southwesterly wind. There will be some drier slots. Muggy. Max 18°C

Weekend: Warm and not too much rain about.

Saturday: Generally cloudy with a risk of drizzle or light rain on coasts and hills to start. Hilltops could be misty or covered in low-cloud. As the day progresses it should dry up with some localised brightness and feeling warm for the time of year. Max 19°C

Sunday: Drier with bright spells at times. Still feeling warm with southerly winds especially in any sunshine. I have lots of BBQ food left…… hmmmmm. Max 19°C

Warmer 2

Ex-Hurricance Ophelia located to our southwest

Warmer 1

Above average temps: Warmer air ahead of ex-Hurricane Ophelia, cooler air behind it

Outlook: The remnants of Hurricane Ophelia, located to the southwest of the UK, may bring further warm air up from the south on Monday. With sunny spells on offer, temperatures could be close to 21°C. The rest of the coming days will be cooler and mostly cloudy before rain and wind returns.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 6pm on Wednesday the 11th of October 2017

Thursday 28th September 2017 – Sunday 1st October 2017

Hi all,

After a mostly wet September the last third hasn’t be too bad with mild temperatures and drier conditions. It looks like the Jet Stream returns into October bringing more rain and also some windier conditions which could lead to Storm Brian.

Thursday: Early rain will clear to leave a reasonable day with sunny spells and it should remain dry. Max 17°C

Friday: Cloudy with another band of rain spreading west to east. It will clear into the afternoon with the odd shower to follow. Cooler. Max 16°C

Weekend: Saturday the better day of the two.

Saturday: Sunny spells and perhaps the odd shower. Feeling fresh. Max 15°C

Sunday: Rain, heavy at times arriving from the west and lasting most of the day. Looks like my golf competition could be a washout. Meh. Max 14°C

Outlook: Ex-hurricanes Maria and Lee, will influence our weather. It’s uncertain yet, after a spell of wind and rain (perhaps a named-storm), whether it settles down or remains wet. Time will tell as currently it could go either way.

One thing to note: the media and tabloids will have a field day but the predicted wet and windy weather for early October is nothing unusual as we tend to have our fair share of Autumnal storms.

Follow @ChadWeather for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday the 27th of September 2017 at 6:15pm.

Thursday 14th September 2017 – Sunday 17th September 2017

Hi all,

Storm Aileen, our first named-storm of the season, certainly had the potential to deliver some strong gusts in excess of 60mph during the early hours of Wednesday, but failed to deliver. The track of the low was crucial and the path taken meant the stronger winds were located further south and southeast. I only recorded 33mph at 2:53am. The lowest pressure recorded was at 2:21am with a value of 984.19mb. Nothing unusual at all for Autumn.

Here’s the A-Z of named-storms from the Met Office.

Thursday: A day of sunshine and occasional showers which will arrive on a fresh, cool north-westerly wind. The showers should ease towards evening. Max 15°C

Friday: Little change with bright spells and showers. The breeze will be from the north so a chilly feel. Clear spells will lead to temperatures dipping into single figures. Max 14°C

Weekend: Improving slowly. Cool nights. 

Saturday: Plenty of cloud around with some bright spells. Some showers still likely, especially so in eastern areas. Max 15°C

Sunday: A cold start with perhaps a rural ground frost. Sunny spells developing and we should have killed off the showers so remaining dry. Max 15°C

Outlook: Not a bad start to next week. Dry with bright spells but showers are expected to return from midweek.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts across Manchester and its surrounding areas.

Thanks,
Jon 

Image: Met Office

Forecast Issued at 13:40 on Wednesday the 13th of September 2017

Thursday 17th August 2017 – Sunday 20th August 2017

Hi all,

I still have high hopes for it being a reasonable, or even decent last week of August. Fingers crossed.

Thursday: Any early morning cloud and rain clears quickly, to give a warmer day than recently, with sunshine and some showers. Catch one and it will be heavy but they will be well-scattered. Max 21°C

Friday: We swing back to unsettled conditions. Much cooler with frequent showers and quite windy. Max 16°C

Weekend: Sunshine and showers to start.

Saturday: Fresh northwesterly winds with sunshine and showers. These more likely during the morning with the afternoon and evening likely to be drier. Max 16°C

Sunday: A tricky forecast, as ex-Hurricane Gert, now a low pressure, will be sitting to the northwest of the UK. With it comes wind and rain, nothing major, although the rain will be heavy. Some uncertainty on how far southeast the rain will track, so this forecast could change. At the moment, bright spells to start but becoming windy with rain arriving from the west during the day. A little humid. Max 18°C

Outlook: The arrival of Gert will disturb the Jet Stream and hopefully this will lead to high pressure building into next week bringing settled conditions with more in the way of warm sunshine.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest local forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 1:30pm on Wednesday the 16th of August 2017

Thursday 10th August 2017 – Sunday 13th August 2017

Hi all,

July ended disappointingly and August isn’t behaving itself either. Fingers crossed on summer returning for the last week of August. I have high hopes……

Thursday: Not a bad day at all. Dry with warm sunny spells, light winds and fair-weather cloud bubbling up. Max 19°C

Friday: The ridge of high pressure that was around for the last 36 hours, drifts away and showery rain will push down from the northwest as the day progresses. Max 17°C

Weekend: Decent enough

Saturday: Yesterday’s rain clearing to a day of sunshine and just the chance of a shower. Again, temperatures nothing to cheer about on paper, but pleasant in any lengthy spells of brightness. Max 17°C

Sunday: Not much change. A few showers possible but most places dry with bright or sunny spells. Max 17°C

Outlook: Unfortunately no good news. The Jet Stream pretty much stays where it is, across the UK, so expect spells of showers or bands of rain with drier, brighter slots in between. With this set-up, little change in temperature. Roll on the last week of August….

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest local forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 12:30pm on the 9th of August 2017