Thursday 19th October 2017 – Sunday 22nd October 2017

Hi all,

Autumn continues to live up to its name as we experienced some wild weather earlier this week. Ex-Hurricane Ophelia (Bizarre Storm) arrived as forecast but we escaped the worst. Chadderton recorded a 44mph gust but generally across the region it was 50-55mph with 70mph along the coast. What was unusual was it wasn’t hammering down with rain. Once morning-showers moved away, some lightning was recorded near Bury, then the day turned very strange indeed. I had noticed a weird ‘light’ on the way to work and soon the sky was filled with rolling cloud that looked very smoke-like and a glowing red sun. Ex-Ophelia’s southerly winds had pushed smoke particles from the Portuguese/Spanish wildfires and Saharan Sand northwards (Red Sun Phenomenon).

As you know we have named-storms and we are currently on ‘B’ as we had Aileen in September. The reason Ophelia wasn’t Brian was because she was already named and since she kept her strength, she remained named the same, even though an ex-Hurricane, as she arrived on our shores.

Storm Brian could well be here quicker than you think……

Thursday: A lot of cloud around but with some bright spells during the day after a misty start. With light winds it will feel pleasant and mild. However, the breeze will pick up later in the day with a risk of some showery rain developing especially to the south and east. Max 16°C

Friday: Fronts will arrive from the west, so a spell of rain which will be followed by brighter conditions and some showers. Breezy and fresher. Max 13°C

Weekend: Poor. Wet and very windy.

Brian

Storm Brian this weekend?

 

Saturday: A deep area of low pressure will have been forming out west on the Jet Stream and this system could well be named as Storm Brian. At the moment the strongest winds (70mph gusts) look to be heading to Southern Britain, but the track is still uncertain so watch tweets for updates. Currently, it will be a wet day with rain, heavy at times and windy with 40mph gusts. Feeling cold. Max 13°C

Sunday: The ‘storm’ will move into the North Sea but will introduce cold north-easterly winds and with it frequent showers which could be thundery. Remaining windy with gusts possible to 45mph during showers. Max 12°C

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with some spells of wind and rain broken up by some drier slots. Temperatures around or just above average.

Follow @Chadweather on Twitter to keep up to date with the local weather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of October 2017 at 1pm
Images: WXCHARTS – Follow them on Twitter.

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Thursday 22nd June 2017 – Sunday 25th June 2017

Hi all,

After several days of very warm to hot weather and a risk of thunderstorms later on Wednesday, we’re finally back to more accustomed conditions.

Thursday: The humid air is now being pushed away to the east after yesterday’s showers cleared the air. A lot of cloud with some localised light rain or drizzle for the morning but it will tend to become a little brighter into the afternoon. Much cooler. Max 18°C

Friday: Cloudy with some rain at times, clearing later into the evening to bring some drier conditions and perhaps some brightness. A fresh westerly breeze. Max 17°C

Weekend: Bright spells and showers. Breezy.

Saturday: Bright spells and some showers with a noticeable breeze. I prefer this to the horrible humidity we experienced earlier in the week. Max 17°C

Sunday: Fewer showers, in fact some places dry with some brightness, and hopefully not as breezy as it was on Saturday. Risk of some rain late-evening and overnight. Temperatures around normal. Max 16°C

Outlook: Likely to turn more unsettled with showers and temperatures slipping just below normal.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 12:30pm on Wednesday the 21st of June 2017

Thursday 22nd December 2016 – Boxing Day 2016

Hi all,

First I would like to wish you all a very Merry Christmas and hope you all enjoy the festivities despite this forecast.

Deep snow? Nah, we have wind and rain to look forward to, and possibly two named storms. After the recent stagnant weather this is a noticeable change especially after a quiet December with rainfall only at 40% of the monthly average.

Thursday: A chilly start with some frost and localised icy patches. Sunny spells and breezy with a risk of a shower or two. These could fall as hail. Feeling cold. Max 7°C

Storm Barbara approaching the U.K.

Friday: A little milder but really not noticeable as Storm Barbara arrives bringing heavy rain after a dry start. It will be windy with gusts of 50mph likely. Weather warning in place. Exposed places could see 60mph. Watch my tweets for updates. Max 10°C

Christmas Eve: Remaining windy with some blustery showers and feeling cold. More rain and wind overnight. Max 8°C

A very mild Christmas Day but colder overnight into Boxing Day

Christmas Day: Early rain, mild and very strong winds. Weather warning in place. There is still some uncertainity about this ‘storm’ and its track. If it develops to be strong enough to be named it will be Storm Conor but at the moment it doesn’t look like it will develop into a system like the one on Friday. During the day we could see gusts to 50mph once again. Later on the rain clears to some scattered blustery showers. Some colder air feeds in overnight, so we could see hail and even some sleet or wet snow to the hills. Max 11°C

The weather calms down as high pressure builds after Boxing Day

Boxing Day and the following few days: Still windy initially then much improved as high pressure builds and the weather eventually ‘relaxes’. Plenty of drier conditions with a risk of some frosts overnight. Chilly at first but maybe becoming slowly milder. Max 7°C

Keep up to date with the latest weather forecast by following @Chadweather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

 

Forecast issued: 11:00am on Wednesday the 21st of December 2016

Images: http://www.wxcharts.eu; http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk; http://www.wetterzentrale.de

Thursday 9th June 2016 – Sunday 12th June 2016

Hi all,

A quick blog this evening after the afternoon was spent storm-watching and seeing a monsoon deliver 15mm of rain; 12.2mm in an hour alone (2nd highest-recorded). It’s not shifted the humid-feel just yet, but that will eventually go as we approach the weekend.

Thursday will dawn misty and mild. Sunny spells during most of the day and feeling muggy. Cloud will thicken and some showery rain is expected later into the evening and overnight. Low risk of thunder and lightning. Still warm. Max 21°C.

A change. If you hate this ‘tropical’ feel to the weather then finally we turn cooler on Friday. Showers will be on and off all day as we enter an mixed spell. Max 17°C.

The weekend is certainly tricky to forecast but it will be unsettled and cooler than what we have become used to.

Cloudy on Saturday with some rain at times. There will be some drier slots with a little brightness but gone are the hot, sunny days of recent weeks. Max 18°C.

Cooler Weekend

A cooler weekend awaits

It looks like Sunday will start dry for most but more rain from the west will arrive. Possibly showery at first then heavier and becoming breezy. Max 17°C.

Wet

Plenty of rain expected between Friday and Sunday

Looking ahead and next week will be cool, possibly temperatures just below average at times, with plenty of showers.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and all its surrounding boroughs.

Photos/Data: ukweatherforecast.co.uk; www.weatheronline.co.uk
Forecast issued at 20:15 on Wednesday the 8th of June 2016

Thanks,
Jon

Thursday 4th February 2016 – Sunday 7th February 2016

Hi all,

Two named-storms in a short period of time and even some snow showers last weekend confirms our weather remains in an unsettled state. As we enter the final meteorological winter month, I am still hopeful of some prolonged cold during mid-February and we can also always rely on March to bring us some wintry weather; so don’t put your sledges away yet.

Rain and milder conditions arrive once again on Thursday after recent cooler conditions. With this comes rain, initially heavy, but easing later on. Hill-drizzle may remain into the evening. Max 11°C.

milder thur

Max Temperatures for Thursday – back to double-figures

The flip-flop pattern continues into Friday as cooler air comes in from the north-west. This doesn’t look like arriving until later on into the late-evening, after a mainly cloudy day with some showery rain and hill-drizzle. Max 10°C.

cold front

A cold front will sink SE slowly on Friday bringing rain then cooler air

The weekend will be chilly and windy with showers at times and some cool nights. To be honest forecasting this weekend has been a bit of a headache with several what-if scenarios to deal with.

For Saturday, bright spells and some showers early on and it will feel colder than recently. Later on there is a good chance rain will spread in from the west and winds increase. Max 7°C.

Bright spells and showers on Sunday after early rain clears. If anything, maybe feeling a little cooler, especially in the fresh wind. Again, more general rain and wind later or overnight. Max 7°C.

Looking at early next week it seems to remain chilly with some showers, which could be wintry at times over the hills. The week looks breezy throughout and there is a good chance we will see some more windy weather later on; perhaps another named-storm?

named storm imogen

Another named-storm later next week – Storm Imogen?

 

colder

If the stormy weather comes off it could be followed by much colder Arctic air

 

January 2016 Stats

Av. Temp 5.3°C 
Max Temp 13.2°C (24th)
Min Temp -2.7°C (16th)
Wettest Day 13mm (27th)
Highest Gust 45mph (27th)
Rainfall 129.8mm
Rainy Days 26 

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Photos/Data: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk

Forecast issued at 16:30 on Wednesday 3rd of February 2016

Thursday 28th January 2016 – Sunday 31st January 2016

Hi all,

It’s wet and wild whilst I write this blog. Not dissimilar to yesterday when ex-storm Jonas, which brought parts of the U.S. 2-3 feet of snow, rattled across the UK. This is a sure sign that the Jet Stream is back in charge of our weather, depressing news for proper cold- and snow-lovers.

The next few days sees an up-and-down trend in temperatures across the region as we swing from one side of the Jet Stream to the other.

powerful jet

A powerful Jet Stream still controlling our weather

After a mostly wet, windy and mild Wednesday we sit on the cold side of the Jet Stream on Thursday. A cold start with a rural frost; so perhaps some deicing before work for some. Feeling much colder with sunny spells but cloud increases during the day with some rain or showers expected into the afternoon, some heavy. Winds will again increase; gale-force gusts overnight. Cold during daylight hours but temperatures rising again into the evening. Max 8°C.

Again it is milder into Friday but it will not feel so with very windy conditions. Gusts to 55mph in exposed places is likely, especially so during the morning. Showers at times on the westerly wind and more general rain overnight. Max 12°C.

I did say a few days ago that we won’t see any more snow in January. Saturday will be cold enough for some wintry showers so we could see some hail and possibly some sleet or snow showers in areas above 350M. Not exactly a major snow-event but a reminder that it’s winter and enough for the Met Office to issue a warning for further north. Max 5°C.

wintry showers on sat net

Wintry showers with some snow to higher ground is possible on Saturday

snow warning

Warning for snow and ice issued for Cumbria showing winter is still close by

Overnight into Sunday and it looks like rain will return from the south-west and with it milder temperatures once more. Certainly weather that can’t make its mind up. Max 11°C.

mild temps from the SW on Sun

After a colder Saturday; milder air returns from the south-west during Sunday

Looking ahead and next week could start with more gales on Monday. After that, sunshine and showers with tempertures back down into single-figures. I’m still going for a chance of some decent cold and bitter temperatures from mid-February. As always, no-one knows and this is just my hunch.

more gales on Monday

Next week starts with more gale-force gusts

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to catch all the latest weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Photos/Data: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk, http://www.metoffice.gov.uk and netweather.tv.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

Forecast issued at 14:00 on Wednesday 27th January 2016

Thursday 24th December 2015 – Sunday 27th December 2015

Hi all,

Firstly, I’d like to wish you all a very happy Christmas and all the best for 2016. Have a good one folks.

Now unfortunately it isn’t going to be a White Christmas as December keeps up the wet and mild theme. However, there is the possibly of some stormy weather on the way before the year is out.

It will start wet and windy on Christmas Eve as rain sweeps through from the tail-end of Storm Eva. It will be followed on by sunshine and some showers. Cooler as the day progresses.  Max 9°C.

Christmas Day will start chilly across the region with the possibility of a local ground frost. Cloud will thicken and rain will arrive during the day to give a wet afternoon and turning much milder into the evening. Max 11°C.

All eyes on Boxing Day as a band of rain could become stagnant across the northwest. It will be mild and breezy but there is concern that the rain could be persistent and heavy and introduce localised flooding but there is a chance it could linger away further north than our location. One to watch. Max 11°C.

Boxing_Day_Rain

Boxing Day rain-risk

The rain should slowly ease away on Sunday leaving a cloudy day but drier with the mild conditions continuing under southerly winds. Max 12°C.

Looking ahead to next week and there is a chance of some stormy weather after a few more mild and breezy days. The GFS computer model has an intense storm for the 30th of December which would certainly cause issues. Looking further ahead and obviously open to change, there is another storm looming on the GFS for the first day of 2016 and it is a whopper! As you know predicting this far ahead is daft, as it changes so often, but I am getting this feeling that we are in for a notable storm within the next 10 days. Hang on to your hats!

30_storm

Possible storm on the 30th?


01_storm

Even stronger storm to welcome in 2016?

To keep up to date with all your local weather then follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Enjoy the festive break.

Jon

Thursday 3rd December 2015 – Sunday 6th December

Hi all,

Wet wet wet. The only way to describe the last week and the month of November which turned out to be the wettest month I’ve ever recorded with 231.8mm of rain falling. The previous record was 185.4mm in December 2012.

We are now in the meteorological winter and we start December mild with more rain on the way. 

Thursday will see rain across the region. Some heavy bursts, especially on the hills with a risk of localised flooding once again. It will clear later in the evening. Mild and breezy with cooler air following on overnight. Max 11°C.

Friday promises to be the best day we’ve had for a while. We are in between weather systems so bright spells and it should remain dry albeit windy. Cooler and winds increasing overnight with gale-force gusts. Max 9°C.

It all gets a bit complicated into the weekend. 

A band of heavy rain will move in on Saturday associated with some gusty winds. It will move from NW to SE and remain very windy throughout with 60mph gusts possible. A warning is already in place. Milder for a time. Max 10°C.

Still very windy early on Sunday but easing quickly. Still quite cloudy with some rain or showers at times. Possibly brighter & drier later. Mild temperatures for December. Max 12°C.

Next week looks cooler with temperatures dropping to more typical December values.

For updates on this weekend’s possible stormy weather follow @ChadWeather on Twitter. 

Thanks for reading. 

Jon