Thursday 7th December 2017 – Sunday 10th December 2017

Hi all,

Apologies for the delay today I’ve been exploring the Manchester Christmas Markets and of course the food and beer. So then, a lot of hype this week about colder weather coming and whether it will snow or not and if yes, then how much and where, etc. etc. Interesting times ahead, tricky forecasting times ahead and one thing for sure, cold times ahead. Brrrrr.

Thursday: Storm Caroline brings early heavy, perhaps squally rain, which clears quickly. It will be windy and after a very mild start it will become colder and colder. Sunny spells will arrive with the Arctic air then showers will get going later into the afternoon which will start to turn wintry. Later in the evening and overnight sleet and snow showers will push down from the northwest on a stiff, bitterly cold wind. Don’t be surprised to see a covering of snow on Friday morning. Max 11°C occurring in the morning falling to 6°C by mid-afternoon.

Tit

Snow showers pushing down on a bitter NW’ly wind on Thursday night into Friday

Friday: Sleet and snow showers will become confined to western parts and most of us will enjoy some sunshine. It will feel very cold with a significant wind-chill. Max 2°C but feeling more like -3°C. Frost settling in overnight.

Weekend: Plenty of sunshine then a chance of snow.

Saturday: Frosty early and late with sunny spells during the day. Just a chance of a wintry shower to the west where it could be cloudier. Max 4°C

A chance of snow arriving from the southwest on Sunday but details far from certain

Sunday: A forecasters’ nightmare at the moment and be aware things could change. The current model output suggests a dry start but very cold with temperatures close to freezing. Rain coming in from the west or southwest towards midday will engage with the cold air and turn to snow. Some heavy snow looks possible but details at this stage are not certain, i.e. the band of rain/snow could stay away further south, so look out for further updates this week on Twitter. Low-lying areas (under 100M) more prone to sleet but travel disruption could occur in locations above this height. Max 2°C

Outlook: It will remain cold or very cold for the foreseeable with night frosts. There is another chance of snow on Thursday but again details can only be firmed up nearer the time. The cold spell is here to stay.

So to summarise we have a good chance of some snow Thursday into early Friday and also on Sunday.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for up to date forecasts and the latest on the possible snow.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 9:50pm on Wednesday the 6th of December 2017

Images: http://wxcharts.eu

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Thursday 9th of November 2017 – Sunday 12th of November 2017

Hi all,

Yep the media are still at it. Anyone got their sledges out? Nope. The weather does have a chill about it, already, but it is anyone’s guess what winter will bring.

Thursday: A cloudy start with milder air back again across the region. Some rain likely in the morning but patchy in nature. This will ease away and some bright spells will break out and lead to a drier afternoon. Max 11°C

Friday: A cloudy and breezy day with bright spells and some showers especially so in the morning. A band of rain moving through overnight. Max 10°C

Weekend: Cold, especially in the wind.

Saturday: A northwesterly airflow will take hold over the UK this weekend and it will feel cold. We’ll see some brightness on Saturday, but also some showers blown in on that keen breeze. Max 9°C

Sunday: A drier day is expected with sunny spells and a few lingering showers. Remaining cold with a frost likely overnight as skies clear. Max 9°C

Outlook: Slowly becoming less cold and cloudier after a decent Monday. Temperatures close or just below average. No sign of any snowfall or any named-storm on the horizon. We could become stuck under a cloudy-high, which means little sunshine but very settled conditions.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest localised forecasts.

You can also view hourly weather stats tweets at @OldhamWxStats and 1-minute data updates from my personal weather station on Wunderground.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 4:30pm on Wednesday the 8th of November
Image: wxcharts

Thursday 28th September 2017 – Sunday 1st October 2017

Hi all,

After a mostly wet September the last third hasn’t be too bad with mild temperatures and drier conditions. It looks like the Jet Stream returns into October bringing more rain and also some windier conditions which could lead to Storm Brian.

Thursday: Early rain will clear to leave a reasonable day with sunny spells and it should remain dry. Max 17°C

Friday: Cloudy with another band of rain spreading west to east. It will clear into the afternoon with the odd shower to follow. Cooler. Max 16°C

Weekend: Saturday the better day of the two.

Saturday: Sunny spells and perhaps the odd shower. Feeling fresh. Max 15°C

Sunday: Rain, heavy at times arriving from the west and lasting most of the day. Looks like my golf competition could be a washout. Meh. Max 14°C

Outlook: Ex-hurricanes Maria and Lee, will influence our weather. It’s uncertain yet, after a spell of wind and rain (perhaps a named-storm), whether it settles down or remains wet. Time will tell as currently it could go either way.

One thing to note: the media and tabloids will have a field day but the predicted wet and windy weather for early October is nothing unusual as we tend to have our fair share of Autumnal storms.

Follow @ChadWeather for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday the 27th of September 2017 at 6:15pm.

Thursday 17th August 2017 – Sunday 20th August 2017

Hi all,

I still have high hopes for it being a reasonable, or even decent last week of August. Fingers crossed.

Thursday: Any early morning cloud and rain clears quickly, to give a warmer day than recently, with sunshine and some showers. Catch one and it will be heavy but they will be well-scattered. Max 21°C

Friday: We swing back to unsettled conditions. Much cooler with frequent showers and quite windy. Max 16°C

Weekend: Sunshine and showers to start.

Saturday: Fresh northwesterly winds with sunshine and showers. These more likely during the morning with the afternoon and evening likely to be drier. Max 16°C

Sunday: A tricky forecast, as ex-Hurricane Gert, now a low pressure, will be sitting to the northwest of the UK. With it comes wind and rain, nothing major, although the rain will be heavy. Some uncertainty on how far southeast the rain will track, so this forecast could change. At the moment, bright spells to start but becoming windy with rain arriving from the west during the day. A little humid. Max 18°C

Outlook: The arrival of Gert will disturb the Jet Stream and hopefully this will lead to high pressure building into next week bringing settled conditions with more in the way of warm sunshine.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest local forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 1:30pm on Wednesday the 16th of August 2017

Thursday 29th June 2017 – Sunday 2nd July 2017

Hi all,

Rain, rain and more rain fell on Wednesday making it one of the wettest June days I’ve recorded. The good news is the weather will improve in time for the weekend. 

Thursday: Cloudy with rain during the morning but it should be light and not as persistent as Wednesday. Slowly drier into the afternoon and a little warmer. Max 17°C

Friday: Generally cloudy again with some rain or showers at times. Breezy. Max 17°C

Weekend: An improvement but windy. 

Saturday: Sunny spells and mostly dry. Breezy especially later on and there will be some passing rain during the night. Max 17°C

Sunday: A fresh westerly wind but after any morning rain clears it should be dry with some bright spells. Max 16°C

Looking ahead: High pressure will try and push up from the south but not guaranteed to anchor itself over the UK. Overall a bit warmer and some drier slots with bright spells. 

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for further updates. 

Forecast Issued at 3:30pm on Wednesday the 28th of June 2017

Thanks,
Jon

Thursday 15th June 2017 – Sunday 18th June 2017

Hi all,

After a few changeable days the weather warmed up again on Wednesday and the general theme over the weekend is for more summery temperatures to arrive.

Thursday: Yesterday’s warmth and humidity will be replaced by fresher air from the west. Cloudy with some isolated rain during the morning, moving west to east, followed by brighter skies and perhaps an afternoon or evening shower. Max 18°C

Friday: Generally cloudy, some brightness and mainly dry. A little breezy and temperatures around normal. Max 18°C

Weekend: Very warm sunny spells with variable cloud.

Saturday: A cloudy start is expected but some warm sunny spells will break through at times, especially later in the day. Some northwestern areas and along the west coast could remain cloudy all day. Remaining dry with a slight breeze. Max 22°C but localised sunnier spots could go a couple of degrees higher. 

Sunday: Sunny spells and very warm. It should remain dry again and pleasant. BBQ anyone? High UV levels. Lighter winds. Max 24°C

Outlook: A very warm start but fresher conditions following on from the west but it will remain generally settled with sunny spells and just a few showers. 

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts. 

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 14th June 2017 at 14:10

Thursday 29th September 2016 – Sunday 2nd October 2016

Hi all,

We are now into Autumn and it will certainly feel cooler at times over the next few days. Got any weekend plans? Sunday’s looking the ‘outdoor day’.

Thursday: Sunny spells and some scattered showers. Catch one and it could be heavy. Much fresher than Wednesday and windy. Max 16°C

Friday: Bright spells and showers. Showers heavier and more frequent than yesterday. Still breezy but it shouldn’t be as windy. Feeling cool. Max 14°C

chilly-night

A cold night on Saturday could see a rural ground frost

Saturday: We are still likely to see some rain as low pressure swings across England and Wales. Lighter winds and the rain should clear by evening and it will be a cold night with clear spells developing. Rurally a ground frost. Max 13°C

Sunday: The best day of the weekend. It promises to be dry with plenty of sunny spells after a cold and possible misty or foggy start. Max 14°C

temps-up

The back-end of next week could see warmer temperatures again

Looking ahead: A southerly airflow should lift the temperatures early next week with some rain arriving on Tuesday. After that it’s back to cooler conditions before possibly warming up again by the end of the week where we could approach 20°C.

As always, our weather is ever-changing. Keep up-to-date with what’s in store by following my tweets via @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 1:50pm on Wednesday 28th September 2016
Images: http://www.netweather.tv

Thursday 22nd September 2016 – Sunday 25th September 2016

Hi all,

After last week’s storms and high temperatures, it’s been a quieter week so far. This pattern will continue until the weekend. It’s a short and sweet blog this week as I head off to Spain today for 4 days of golf and hot sunshine (so @MeteoGib promises me) :).

Thursday: It will start cloudy, on Autumn Equinox Day, with some patchy rain and mild. This rain will clear to leave a day of sunny spells and quite pleasant. Max 16°C

Friday: High pressure sitting to our south. Bright or sunny spells. Becoming breezy later with a risk of a shower or two. Max 18°C

The Atlantic starts to influence over the weekend.

rain

Rain expected later on Saturday – likely late-evening

Saturday: A dry start with any brightness fading as cloud thickens from the west. It will become windy and rain, some heavy, is expected later in the day. Hopefully, it will hold off until after dark or even overnight. Feeling a little muggy. Max 19°C

Sunday: Once Saturday’s rain clears we will be left with sunshine and showers, some of these could be heavy or thundery. Still breezy and fresher. Max 16°C

Next Week: Details uncertain as the Jet Stream kicks in. Some cool nights where we have light winds and clear skies. By day, some spells of rain with drier intervals. Temperatures around average, maybe above on a few occasions.

As always, our weather is ever-changing. Keep up-to-date with what’s in store by following my tweets via @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 12:25pm on Wednesday 21st September 2016
Images: http://www.netweather.tv

Thursday 15th September 2016 – Sunday 18th September 2016

Hi all,

Well, after waiting all summer for a decent storm, one finally arrived nearly two weeks into September and wasn’t it a belter. Torrential rain, continuous lightning and roaring thunder. My kind of heaven but with localised flooding someone’s kind of hell. At Chaddy HQ the storm dropped 16.8mm in an hour. The wettest area around Bramhall saw 30-35mm of rain fall. That’s about half a month’s worth. During the torrential downpour we also managed an impressive rain-rate of 145.8mm/hr. As the storms moved through the region the whole cell produced over 10,500 lightning strikes. So, any more storms to come?

img_4481

Over 10,500 lightning strikes were recorded

Thursday: I am expecting a cloudy and misty start in some places. This will be slow to burn off especially towards the hills. Eventually it will be a day of sunny spells and again very warm for September and feeling so with lighter winds than Wednesday. Max 24°C.

storm-risk

A widespread storm risk later on Thursday and overnight

Thursday (overnight): From late-evening on Thursday we have a warning in place for more storms. These storms will develop to our south, move north then away to the east. The timing or certainty is very tricky. So be aware of possible thunderstorms in the early hours and don’t be surprised to hear a rumble or two.

cooler-air-arriving-on-friday

Fresher and cooler air arrives from the Atlantic on Friday

Friday: All change. Any morning storms, cloud and rain clearing. A much brighter afternoon with sunny spells and breezy. What will be noticeable will be how much fresher and cooler it will feel as northwesterly winds arrive. Just a chance of a shower later on. Max 17°C.

Saturday: Looking reasonable. Mainly dry with sunny spells. Temperatures around normal. Max 17°C.

Sunday: Bright spells for the morning. Cloud thickening with rain likely to arrive into the afternoon. Max 17°C.

cooler-overnight

After the recent warmth; some chilly nights expected next week

Next Week: Bright spells and some showers by day. A little cool compared to recently and overnight temperatures likely to slip into single-figures.

As always, our weather is ever-changing. Keep up-to-date with what’s in store by following my tweets via @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 8:10pm on Wednesday 14th September 2016
Images: http://www.netweather.tv and en.blitzortung.org

Thursday 18th August 2016 – Sunday 21st August 2016

Hi all,

I hope you’ve all been enjoying the lovely summery weather we’ve been experiencing this week. If you haven’t had chance to and you’re pinning your hopes on this weekend, you’re going to be disappointed.

For me this week has been perfect. Early 20s and no humidity to spoil it. We will sneak in another day before it’s all change.

Thursday: Sunny spells will develop after a cloudy start. It will remain dry and be warm again. Make the most of it. Max 22°C

Friday: Cloud will thicken with rain, some heavy spreading from the southwest during the day. The rain will come and go with drier interudes possible. Cooler throughout. Max 18°C

Not great for being outdoors this weekend. Not the best when you have a garden party (and BBQ) planned for Saturday. 😦

Saturday: Windy with frequent showers, and at times, longer spells of rain. Gusts in exposed parts could touch 35-40mph, unusual for August. Feeling cool. Max 17°C

Sat

A dreadful Saturday with wind and plenty of showers

Sunday: Windy but the winds should ease later in the day. Another showery affair but these should become more scattered into the evening. Temperatures still below average. Max 17°C

SAT WIND

A windy weekend, especially on Saturday. Strongest gusts around the Bristol Channel

Next week: Starting off a little more settled before showers return. A small chance of it warming up in the south but no heatwave in sight.

Next week warm

Some heat arrives next week but it doesn’t look to last long and likely to be confined to the south (no change there then)

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for all your local weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding areas.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued: 17:30 on Wednesday 17th August 2016