Thursday 22nd March 2018 – Sunday 25th March 2018

Hi all,

Last week we discussed the ‘Beast from the East 2’, the sequel etc. and it certainly delivered. To be honest the amount of snow it brought even surprised me. The wind was also a feature bringing a severe wind-chill and snow drifts up to 4 feet high. It was only a short-lived affair, basically freezing us for the weekend and it wasn’t as intense as the previous Beast, but it was certainly impressive for the second half of March. Of course the media have jumped on this opportuinity to say number 3 is coming and we will see snow at Easter, but what is the realistic outlook?

‘Beast from the East 2’ Stats

  • The temperature dropped 6°C in 90 mins as colder conditions arrived on Friday
  • Snow fell most of Saturday afternoon and overnight
  • Widely 8cm of snow-cover
  • Snow drifts up to 4ft
  • Many road closures
  • Lowest wind-chill of -10°C
  • Lowest feels-like temperature of -11°C
  • Sunday didn’t see the temperature rise above freezing
  • Wind gusts of 50mph locally and especially on the hills felling some trees
Temp drop Beast 2

A rapid temperature drop as the ‘Beast from the East 2’ arrived last Friday

Thursday: Sunny spells and southwesterly winds freshening. It should remain dry until later in the evening and overnight when rain will arrive. Max 9°C

Friday: Early rain, some heavy clearing during the morning. Bright spells into the afternoon with a few showers, possibly thundery. Cool and breezy. Max 10°C

Weekend: Not bad at all, no dramas like last weekend.

Saturday: Apart from the odd shower it looks a reasonable day with sunny spells. Max 9°C

Sunday: A misty start, soon lifting to sunny spells and the odd rogue shower. With light winds it will feel pleasant in any sunshine. Max 10°C

Cold NE

Colder with a chance of snow showers by the time we get to Good Friday

Outlook: Remaining mild with temperatures close to double-figures. Some rain at times, especially into Tuesday, but brighter spells too. As we approach Easter the computer models are showing signs of a cold wind developing again. This looks to be from the northwest or north, but some signs are there for a northeasterly. This will bring lower temperatures and with it the risk of some wintry showers and snow. This looks to last 2-3 days, and yes you’ve guessed it, starting on Good Friday. So, at this current stage, no Beast from the East 3 exactly, but definitely not the Easter forecast you wanted to hear.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.


Forecast Issued at 10:30am on Wednesday the 21st of March 2018



Thursday 15th March 2018 – Sunday 18th March 2018

Hi all,

Beast from the East 2. The sequel. Snow until Easter. I’ve heard it all this week. There’s some truth in those headlines and with it a disappointing outlook as Spring seems to be on hold.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy and windy across the region but with it some mild temperatures. Rain will be coming up from the south but will turn patchy at times and eventually fizzle out with hopefully some late-afternoon brightness. Max 9°C

Friday: Another cloudy and windy day with some showery rain at times, mainly in eastern areas. Feeling a little cooler too, especially later with a chance that some of the rain could turn to sleet or snow on the hills as colder air arrives. Max 7°C

Weekend: Bitterly cold, windy.

Saturday: A strong easterly wind feeding in much colder conditions. Gusts to 40mph likely. A similar pattern to when we had the Beast From the East but not as cold/snowy and it will not last as long. During the day some light snow showers could develop, but at this stage no significant snow is expected. Temperatures struggling above freezing with a severe wind-chill for the time of year making it feel like -5°CMax 2°C

Sunday: Remaining very cold with those biting winds from the east. Any snow flurries or showers tending to fade as the supply from the east gets cut off as high pressure builds. Max 3°C

Outlook: After a very cold 2-day spell over the weekend, it will become less cold but the search for anything Spring-like continues, with temperatures expected to remain below average throughout the next 5 days.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 14th of March 2018 at 1:45pm.


Thursday 8th March 2018 – Sunday 11th March 2018

Hi all,

Well what a week that was. The ‘Beast From the East‘ certainly delivered. The official snow depth here was 12cm on the 1st of March and we had many days of snowfall, severe wind-chill, travel disruption and then very strong winds gusting locally to 55mph. Of course, weather-wise, we’re now into Spring and we say goodbye to Winter 2017-18, which turned out the ‘snowiest’ I’ve ever recorded since my records began in late-2012.

Extremes Recorded during the Beast From the East – all new records

Lowest Temp= -6.1°C (28th Feb)
Lowest Wind-chill= -12.0°C (1st Mar)
Lowest Apparent Temp= -12.1°C (1st Mar)
Lowest ‘Feels Like’ Temp = -13.3°C (1st Mar)
Lowest Daytime Max Temp= -2.4°C (28th Feb)

But the Lowest Dew Point record of -12.7°C, from the 25th of March 2017, remained intact.

Here’s how previous winters have compared.

Winter Stats

Comparing the last 6 winters


So can we expect something warmer and Spring-like soon?

Thursday: A cloudy damp start with some rain, sleet and hill-snow. Some settling snow is possible above 250M (2+cm), and especially so over the Pennines (5+cm), so check the roads if you’re travelling trans-Pennine routes. At the time of this blog there is a warning in place. This should all clear mid-morning with bright spells and showers following. Some of the showers heavy, perhaps wintry with hail and thunder. Max 6°C

Friday: We will start with a slight frost and some ice in places. Not a bad day in store with sunny spells and dry. Feeling pleasant in the sunshine. Cloudier later with rain overnight. Max 7°C

Weekend: Wet then drier; Sunday the better day

Saturday: A keen southeasterly wind. Rain, some heavy,  lasting most of the day. Just a few drier slots at times. Early on, there is a slight chance of some snow on the Pennines for a few hours but this is a low risk as it will get progressively milder. Max 9°C

Sunday: Yesterday’s rain clears quickly to leave a drier day with variable cloud allowing for some sunny spells here and there. Mild and it will be the first time we have reached double-figure temperatures since the end of January. Max 11°C

Outlook: Slighly cooler after Sunday with some showers at times which could be wintry. Milder later in the week with southwesterly winds dominating.

February 2018 Stats

Max 9.7°C (19th)
Min -6.1°C (28th)
Av. 2.5°C (colder than average)
Wettest 11.8mm
Windiest 44mph
Rain 60.8mm (drier than average)
Rainy Days 16
Dry Days 12
Air Frosts 14 (more than average)
Snow Falling Days 10
Snow Lying Days 6

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest weather updates.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of March 2018 at 5pm.

Thursday 1st March 2018 – Sunday 4th March 2018

Hi all,

Thursday sees a change of season in the Weather World. Spring has sprung! Well not quite! Although our winter ends today [Wednesday], the weather has gone back in time, as the much-promised Beast From the East arrived bringing snow, tumbling temperatures and a severe wind-chill this week. So when will it all end? In fact, when will we get above freezing again?

Thursday: Like yesterday, one of the coldest days for years. An extreme wind-chill making it feel like -12°C. A mostly cloudy day, there could be some brightness from time-to-time, but equally some more snow showers. These should ease later. Winds strong, gusting to 40mph. Max -2°C

Friday: Bright spells and a few snow flurries. Then later in the day, the forecast is not set in stone, but there is a risk of some snow coming up from the south-west, accompanied by a strong south-easterly wind making it feel like -10°C and gusting to 45mph. As I say, the track of the low pressure, which has been named Storm Emma by the Portuguese Weather Centre, is uncertain, so the snow event might not happen and this is confirmed by the GIF below. The snow tries its best to arrive across the region towards the evening, but fizzles out. The forecast could change so watch out for tweets. Max 0°C

Snow on Friday

Heavy snow will cause disruption in southwestern parts of the UK but will it make it here

Weekend: Still very cold but less so into Sunday. Some snow.

Saturday: Still Baltic but not as windy as Friday. Cloudy with some snow flurries then perhaps a spell of snow for a few hours. Max 1°C

Sunday: Less cold air will push across the region which will recover the temperatures a little and after days of sub-zero values, we will sneak above 0°C. Again, mostly cloudy with a cold wind and the potential is there for some snow showers. Still very cold. Max 3°C

Outlook: Remaining colder-than-average with some wintry showers, so the risk of some snow remains. No sign of our first taste of spring. Don’t thank me, thank Sudden Stratospheric Warming. 

A huge thank you for all your photos, road updates and interactions this week.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest.


Forecast Issued at 17:10 on Wednesday the 28th of February 2018

Thursday 15th February 2018 – Sunday 18th February 2018


Only a couple of weeks left of winter and recently we’ve felt its presence with some more snowfall and cold temperatures, but, change is on the way. However, don’t be thinking of putting away those thick coats just yet, as winter might not be done with, after the recent Sudden Stratospheric Warming event.

Thursday: A reasonable day with some bright spells and milder than recently. There will be the odd wintry shower and a fresh breeze. Max 7°C

Friday: Dry with sunny spells and feeling pleasant. Max 8°C

Weekend: Mostly dry with light winds as pressure builds.

Saturday and Sunday: Mostly cloudy with some bright spells. Feeling quite mild. Just the risk of some drizzle in any thicker cloud, especially on hilltops. Max 9-10°C


High pressure in charge next week so a lot of overdue drier weather on the way

Outlook: High pressure in charge and at first the position of the high will lead to mild and settled conditions. As the week progresses the high could well slip north and introduce cold, then very cold, easterly winds. Initially the focus will be on it feeling bitter but with a lot of dry and overcast weather.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for your latest weather forecasts.


Forecast Issued at 13:45 on Wednesday 14th February 2018

Thursday 18th January 2018 – Sunday 21st January 2018

Hi all,

We are halfway through winter and we were reminded this week with snow returning to some parts as well as plenty of hail and some thundersnow. After last week’s dank slow-weather days we are back up and running with plenty to talk about. There is some more snow on the way.

Lightning 160118

Lightning Strikes: Tuesday saw thunder and lightning, giving some of us thundersnow

Thursday: The early hours and early morning will be very windy with 50-55mph gusts across the region as a low pressure moves through. The thinking was that this system would be named but it is now less intense and therefore hasn’t been christened. It will briefly become milder but during the morning winds will die down somewhat and it will become colder again. After all that we will see a day of sunshine and frequent thundery wintry showers which will fall as snow above 200M. Max 5°C

Snow showers on Friday

Wintry showers, including some snow, will be blown in again on Friday

Friday: A colder day and windy with more wintry showers feeding in. Again, these could be thundery with hail and snow. Snow showers expected almost anywhere but especially on higher ground where it is likely to settle. Max 3°C

Snow Depth cm by the end of Friday

Predicted snow depth (cm) by the end of Friday

Weekend: Saturday’s the day!

Saturday: A frosty start with snow-cover in places from yesterday’s showers. However a decent day ahead. Dry with sunny spells and cold. A perfect winter’s day. Max 4°C

Sunday: A cold start and perhaps briefly dry. Rain (timings still uncertain at this stage) will then move in from the west preceeded by snow in places, especially on the hills and Pennines, but all areas seeing it turn to rain as it becomes slowly milder later. A thaw of any remaining lying snow. Max 7°C

Outlook: Temperatures average for the time of year but with our weather favouring coming in from the Atlantic, we can expect some spells of rain at times. Chilly nights with some patchy frost.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for frequent weather updates.


Forecast issued: 10:15am on Wednesday the 17th of January 2018
Images: and 

Thursday 7th December 2017 – Sunday 10th December 2017

Hi all,

Apologies for the delay today I’ve been exploring the Manchester Christmas Markets and of course the food and beer. So then, a lot of hype this week about colder weather coming and whether it will snow or not and if yes, then how much and where, etc. etc. Interesting times ahead, tricky forecasting times ahead and one thing for sure, cold times ahead. Brrrrr.

Thursday: Storm Caroline brings early heavy, perhaps squally rain, which clears quickly. It will be windy and after a very mild start it will become colder and colder. Sunny spells will arrive with the Arctic air then showers will get going later into the afternoon which will start to turn wintry. Later in the evening and overnight sleet and snow showers will push down from the northwest on a stiff, bitterly cold wind. Don’t be surprised to see a covering of snow on Friday morning. Max 11°C occurring in the morning falling to 6°C by mid-afternoon.


Snow showers pushing down on a bitter NW’ly wind on Thursday night into Friday

Friday: Sleet and snow showers will become confined to western parts and most of us will enjoy some sunshine. It will feel very cold with a significant wind-chill. Max 2°C but feeling more like -3°C. Frost settling in overnight.

Weekend: Plenty of sunshine then a chance of snow.

Saturday: Frosty early and late with sunny spells during the day. Just a chance of a wintry shower to the west where it could be cloudier. Max 4°C

A chance of snow arriving from the southwest on Sunday but details far from certain

Sunday: A forecasters’ nightmare at the moment and be aware things could change. The current model output suggests a dry start but very cold with temperatures close to freezing. Rain coming in from the west or southwest towards midday will engage with the cold air and turn to snow. Some heavy snow looks possible but details at this stage are not certain, i.e. the band of rain/snow could stay away further south, so look out for further updates this week on Twitter. Low-lying areas (under 100M) more prone to sleet but travel disruption could occur in locations above this height. Max 2°C

Outlook: It will remain cold or very cold for the foreseeable with night frosts. There is another chance of snow on Thursday but again details can only be firmed up nearer the time. The cold spell is here to stay.

So to summarise we have a good chance of some snow Thursday into early Friday and also on Sunday.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for up to date forecasts and the latest on the possible snow.


Forecast issued at 9:50pm on Wednesday the 6th of December 2017


Thursday 9th of November 2017 – Sunday 12th of November 2017

Hi all,

Yep the media are still at it. Anyone got their sledges out? Nope. The weather does have a chill about it, already, but it is anyone’s guess what winter will bring.

Thursday: A cloudy start with milder air back again across the region. Some rain likely in the morning but patchy in nature. This will ease away and some bright spells will break out and lead to a drier afternoon. Max 11°C

Friday: A cloudy and breezy day with bright spells and some showers especially so in the morning. A band of rain moving through overnight. Max 10°C

Weekend: Cold, especially in the wind.

Saturday: A northwesterly airflow will take hold over the UK this weekend and it will feel cold. We’ll see some brightness on Saturday, but also some showers blown in on that keen breeze. Max 9°C

Sunday: A drier day is expected with sunny spells and a few lingering showers. Remaining cold with a frost likely overnight as skies clear. Max 9°C

Outlook: Slowly becoming less cold and cloudier after a decent Monday. Temperatures close or just below average. No sign of any snowfall or any named-storm on the horizon. We could become stuck under a cloudy-high, which means little sunshine but very settled conditions.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest localised forecasts.

You can also view hourly weather stats tweets at @OldhamWxStats and 1-minute data updates from my personal weather station on Wunderground.


Forecast Issued at 4:30pm on Wednesday the 8th of November
Image: wxcharts

Thursday 22nd June 2017 – Sunday 25th June 2017

Hi all,

After several days of very warm to hot weather and a risk of thunderstorms later on Wednesday, we’re finally back to more accustomed conditions.

Thursday: The humid air is now being pushed away to the east after yesterday’s showers cleared the air. A lot of cloud with some localised light rain or drizzle for the morning but it will tend to become a little brighter into the afternoon. Much cooler. Max 18°C

Friday: Cloudy with some rain at times, clearing later into the evening to bring some drier conditions and perhaps some brightness. A fresh westerly breeze. Max 17°C

Weekend: Bright spells and showers. Breezy.

Saturday: Bright spells and some showers with a noticeable breeze. I prefer this to the horrible humidity we experienced earlier in the week. Max 17°C

Sunday: Fewer showers, in fact some places dry with some brightness, and hopefully not as breezy as it was on Saturday. Risk of some rain late-evening and overnight. Temperatures around normal. Max 16°C

Outlook: Likely to turn more unsettled with showers and temperatures slipping just below normal.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.


Forecast Issued at 12:30pm on Wednesday the 21st of June 2017

Thursday 10th July – Sunday 13th July


It’s an interesting forecast this week as warmer, humid air pushes in from the east which will produce some lively showers as air masses meet.

Thursday will be a sunny day and feeling pleasant especially so during the morning. Cloud spilling in later in the day as rain spreads in from the east in the evening with some heavier bursts, especially over the hills. Highs of 20’C.

As we head into Friday the rain band will move west and introduce much more warmer and humid air. It will feel very pleasant indeed in any sun but we can expect the warmth to trigger off some scattered heavy, thundery showers. A warm night ahead. Highs of 22’C.

Saturday will remain humid and feeling very warm in any sunshine. Expect a day of bright spells and scattered showers which will be heavy and possibly thundery. Highs of 22’C.

At the moment it looks likely that Sunday will be a little fresher, as winds are westerly. The bright spells and scattered showers theme continues, and heavy. Less humid with highs of 20’C.

Next week: Sunny spells and showers. Temperatures around average.

Follow Jon, @ChadWeather, on Twitter.