Bitter Cold and Snow Update

Hi all,

Just a ‘quick’ blog to keep you updated on the up-and-coming coldest weather for years.

The Met Office have issued a Level 3 Cold Weather Alert for this week. This is one short of a National Emergency. This highlights the severity of this week’s cold.

Cold Weather Alert

For the past few days we have been dragging in cold air from the east (as mentioned in last week’s blog) but during this week, even colder air (aka The Beast From The East) will filter westwards all the way from Siberia, with some extreme wind-chill values for the UK. As this air comes across the relatively warmer North Sea, it will develop snow showers which will be heavy and possibly thundery. The strength of the wind will move them well inland.

The bitter weather is set to last all week with some uncertainty from Friday. During Thursday night into Friday it looks like a low pressure will come up from the south. This is going to bring widespread snow and blizzards to southern parts of England and Wales. It’s too early to say how far north this will come but there is a chance we will see some snowfall from it. After that milder air will try to arrive from the south-west but it might not succeed, or, if it does, it’ll take several days for temperatures to recover. One thing that seems certain this week is that there will be some significant and disruptive snowfall for parts of the UK.

Snow: I’m expecting all of us to see snow at some point over the week. There won’t be any rain falling, anything that falls will be snow, even to sea-level as it will be so cold. The snow showers could easily bring 3-5cm for most of us, with the chance of 10-15cm over the Pennines and surrounding hills as they take a direct hit from the showers firing in on a, at times, gale-force gusting easterly wind. Warnings are in place and more could follow.

Snow Tuesday morning

Snow showers will start to feed in from the NE in the early hours of Tuesday morning

Temperatures: Daytime highs will struggle above freezing and are expected to remain below freezing on Wednesday and Thursday at least. There will be hard penetrating frosts all week with lows down to -7°C, and -10°C in rural spots, especially over snow-cover.

Weds Maximums

Wednesday’s maximums – add on the wind and it will be Baltic

Wind-chill: All week the wind-chill will be sub-zero and midweek it is likely to start to feel like -12°C or lower.


Severe Windchill Thursday AM

Severe wind-chill this week – values as low as -12°C to -14°C in places by Thursday

Sunday: Sunny spells but feeling cold in the wind. Remaining dry. Max 4°C

Monday: The much colder air has arrived and with it more cloud than recent days. Sunny spells, a biting wind and perhaps some snow flurries later in the day. Max 2°C

Tuesday: During the early hours and into the morning there is a risk of some prolonged snow arriving from the NE, especially so in eastern parts. After this clears it’s a day of bright spells and scattered snow showers. Feeling very cold with a -7°C wind-chill. Max 1°C

Wednesday: A bitterly cold day with frequent snow showers from the east filtering well inland. Heaviest of the showers in eastern areas. Some of the showers could be thundery and there will be drifting of any lying snow as winds gust 30mph. Max 0°C

Thursday: Mostly cloudy, some light snow showers but there should be less than yesterday. Severe wind-chill (-12°C) and the coldest day for years. Max -1°C

Snow Event Friday

A significant snow event looks possible next Friday which will cause disruption

Friday: Much uncertainty but likely to be cloudy, freezing cold with light snow arriving from the south. It will also be very windy with 40mph gusts. Again wind-chill values down to -10°C or lower. Further updates during the week. Max 0°C

Just to note: Snowfall is difficult to predict when it arrives in the form of showers. Some areas will see a lot more snow than others as showers produce localised amounts.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up-to-date with the severe weather this week.


Images: www.theweatheroutlook.com, Met Office.


Thursday 8th February 2018 – Sunday 11th February 2018

Hi all,

What a shame (some of you won’t agree) that we had the perfect subzero temperatures for snow on Tuesday but the band of snow that pushed in from the northwest was only light. Even after 6 hours of continous light snowfall it hardly settled and the amounts were minimal. Ah well. Next please……

Thursday: Cloudy with patchy rain slowly arriving during the late-afternoon and evening and becoming much milder for a time. Overnight a spell of more heavier rain as a cold front comes through. Max 7°C

Friday: We return to the colder air filtering down from the northwest. With it some wintry showers so expect hail, sleet, some snow and even thunder and lightning. There could be a prolonged spell of showers during mid-morning. It should turn drier during the afternoon. Max 5°C

Weekend: Unsettled and turning colder.

Wintry showers with snow on Sunday

Wintry showers on Sunday as we turn colder

Saturday: A cold start then becoming cloudy with rain arriving and becoming quite windy. The rain could start off as sleet or snow above 250M but it won’t last too long. Max 7°C

Sunday: Back to square one. Colder with wintry showers, again heavy and possibly thundery. The showers will give a covering of snow in places, especially above 200M. Feeling bitter with a cold northwesterly wind. Max 5°C

Outlook: Remaining cold and changeable. A risk of some windier spells and when they come along it will be briefly milder.

January 2018

Max 12.1°C (24th)
Min -0.7°C (20th)
Av. 4.4°C
Wettest 18mm
Windiest 52mph
Rain 133.2mm
Rainy Days 24
Dry Days 7
Air Frosts 2
Snow Falling Days 6
Snow Lying Days 4

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest weather updates.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of February 2018 at 11am.

Thursday 1st February 2018 – Sunday 4th February 2018

Hi all,

January is coming to a close and with just a month left of winter, who’s looking forward to Spring and those lighter mornings and evenings? I know I am, but I’m still hoping for some more snow before we get there.

Thursday: Cold with bright or sunny spells and windy. Just the chance of an isolated wintry shower during the morning mainly in western areas. Max 5°C

Friday: A cold and frosty start then a reasonable day with sunny spells and a chilly wind. Cloudier later in the day. Max 5°C

Weekend: Chance of snow

Rain arriving from the west on Saturday could turn to snow

Saturday: A very cold day. Cloudy with rain pushing in from the west. Snow is possible on higher ground (mostly >200M) but not exclusively. So, with a chance of snow to lower-levels, watch out for updates on Twitter. Later into the evening we return to a few wintry showers. Max 3°C

Sunday: A return to the brighter weather with a cold wind and sunny spells. The odd wintry shower possible in eastern areas. Max 5°C

Outlook: Remaining cold throughout with bright spells, slight frosts and some wintry showers. Tuesday/Wednesday could see a band of rain which could turn to snow in places. One to watch.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 31st of January 2018 at 7:15pm

Thursday 28th December 2017 – Sunday 31st December 2017

Hi all,

I hope you all had a great Christmas and have managed to return to feeling less stuffed. So it wasn’t a White Christmas here but we did see some snow on the higher routes on Boxing Day morning. As you’ve probably seen, we missed out on another snow event last night as a band of heavy rain mixed with the cold air further south and brought chaos to some of the motorway and road networks. When will it be our turn?

Thursday: A cold and frosty start for most but there is a chance that we could see a few sleet or snow showers earlier in the morning which might give a dusting in places. A nice day will follow with plenty of winter sunshine. A slight breeze making it feel bitter. Max 3°C

Friday: Change on the way. Cloud and light rain, perhaps preceded by snow for a few hours, will move in quickly from the west. The snow may settle briefly especially on the hills and Pennines. After a drier slot further rain will arrive later and with it milder air. Max 6°C

Weekend: Milder and windy.

Saturday: Windy with some showers and drier spells in between. Mostly cloudy and notably milder. Max 10°C

New Year’s Eve: Staying windy with gusts to 40mph and after a spell of rain showers will follow. Remaining mild but feeling colder with the wind. Be prepared for some rain into the evening and around midnight but don’t let it dampen your celebrations. Max 9°C

Outlook: Staying lively as the Jet Stream gathers pace, with rain and windy spells at times. Mostly mild but colder spells in between low pressure systems.

Finally, thanks for all your tweets and support this year. I wish you all the very best for 2018, have a good one!



Follow on Twitter at @ChadWeather.

Hourly weather data at @OldhamWxStats.

Weather data every minute at

Forecast Issued at 12:25pm on Wednesday the 27th of December 2017.

Thursday 7th December 2017 – Sunday 10th December 2017

Hi all,

Apologies for the delay today I’ve been exploring the Manchester Christmas Markets and of course the food and beer. So then, a lot of hype this week about colder weather coming and whether it will snow or not and if yes, then how much and where, etc. etc. Interesting times ahead, tricky forecasting times ahead and one thing for sure, cold times ahead. Brrrrr.

Thursday: Storm Caroline brings early heavy, perhaps squally rain, which clears quickly. It will be windy and after a very mild start it will become colder and colder. Sunny spells will arrive with the Arctic air then showers will get going later into the afternoon which will start to turn wintry. Later in the evening and overnight sleet and snow showers will push down from the northwest on a stiff, bitterly cold wind. Don’t be surprised to see a covering of snow on Friday morning. Max 11°C occurring in the morning falling to 6°C by mid-afternoon.


Snow showers pushing down on a bitter NW’ly wind on Thursday night into Friday

Friday: Sleet and snow showers will become confined to western parts and most of us will enjoy some sunshine. It will feel very cold with a significant wind-chill. Max 2°C but feeling more like -3°C. Frost settling in overnight.

Weekend: Plenty of sunshine then a chance of snow.

Saturday: Frosty early and late with sunny spells during the day. Just a chance of a wintry shower to the west where it could be cloudier. Max 4°C

A chance of snow arriving from the southwest on Sunday but details far from certain

Sunday: A forecasters’ nightmare at the moment and be aware things could change. The current model output suggests a dry start but very cold with temperatures close to freezing. Rain coming in from the west or southwest towards midday will engage with the cold air and turn to snow. Some heavy snow looks possible but details at this stage are not certain, i.e. the band of rain/snow could stay away further south, so look out for further updates this week on Twitter. Low-lying areas (under 100M) more prone to sleet but travel disruption could occur in locations above this height. Max 2°C

Outlook: It will remain cold or very cold for the foreseeable with night frosts. There is another chance of snow on Thursday but again details can only be firmed up nearer the time. The cold spell is here to stay.

So to summarise we have a good chance of some snow Thursday into early Friday and also on Sunday.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for up to date forecasts and the latest on the possible snow.


Forecast issued at 9:50pm on Wednesday the 6th of December 2017


Thursday 9th of November 2017 – Sunday 12th of November 2017

Hi all,

Yep the media are still at it. Anyone got their sledges out? Nope. The weather does have a chill about it, already, but it is anyone’s guess what winter will bring.

Thursday: A cloudy start with milder air back again across the region. Some rain likely in the morning but patchy in nature. This will ease away and some bright spells will break out and lead to a drier afternoon. Max 11°C

Friday: A cloudy and breezy day with bright spells and some showers especially so in the morning. A band of rain moving through overnight. Max 10°C

Weekend: Cold, especially in the wind.

Saturday: A northwesterly airflow will take hold over the UK this weekend and it will feel cold. We’ll see some brightness on Saturday, but also some showers blown in on that keen breeze. Max 9°C

Sunday: A drier day is expected with sunny spells and a few lingering showers. Remaining cold with a frost likely overnight as skies clear. Max 9°C

Outlook: Slowly becoming less cold and cloudier after a decent Monday. Temperatures close or just below average. No sign of any snowfall or any named-storm on the horizon. We could become stuck under a cloudy-high, which means little sunshine but very settled conditions.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest localised forecasts.

You can also view hourly weather stats tweets at @OldhamWxStats and 1-minute data updates from my personal weather station on Wunderground.


Forecast Issued at 4:30pm on Wednesday the 8th of November
Image: wxcharts

Thursday 19th October 2017 – Sunday 22nd October 2017

Hi all,

Autumn continues to live up to its name as we experienced some wild weather earlier this week. Ex-Hurricane Ophelia (Bizarre Storm) arrived as forecast but we escaped the worst. Chadderton recorded a 44mph gust but generally across the region it was 50-55mph with 70mph along the coast. What was unusual was it wasn’t hammering down with rain. Once morning-showers moved away, some lightning was recorded near Bury, then the day turned very strange indeed. I had noticed a weird ‘light’ on the way to work and soon the sky was filled with rolling cloud that looked very smoke-like and a glowing red sun. Ex-Ophelia’s southerly winds had pushed smoke particles from the Portuguese/Spanish wildfires and Saharan Sand northwards (Red Sun Phenomenon).

As you know we have named-storms and we are currently on ‘B’ as we had Aileen in September. The reason Ophelia wasn’t Brian was because she was already named and since she kept her strength, she remained named the same, even though an ex-Hurricane, as she arrived on our shores.

Storm Brian could well be here quicker than you think……

Thursday: A lot of cloud around but with some bright spells during the day after a misty start. With light winds it will feel pleasant and mild. However, the breeze will pick up later in the day with a risk of some showery rain developing especially to the south and east. Max 16°C

Friday: Fronts will arrive from the west, so a spell of rain which will be followed by brighter conditions and some showers. Breezy and fresher. Max 13°C

Weekend: Poor. Wet and very windy.


Storm Brian this weekend?


Saturday: A deep area of low pressure will have been forming out west on the Jet Stream and this system could well be named as Storm Brian. At the moment the strongest winds (70mph gusts) look to be heading to Southern Britain, but the track is still uncertain so watch tweets for updates. Currently, it will be a wet day with rain, heavy at times and windy with 40mph gusts. Feeling cold. Max 13°C

Sunday: The ‘storm’ will move into the North Sea but will introduce cold north-easterly winds and with it frequent showers which could be thundery. Remaining windy with gusts possible to 45mph during showers. Max 12°C

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with some spells of wind and rain broken up by some drier slots. Temperatures around or just above average.

Follow @Chadweather on Twitter to keep up to date with the local weather.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of October 2017 at 1pm
Images: WXCHARTS – Follow them on Twitter.

Thursday 28th September 2017 – Sunday 1st October 2017

Hi all,

After a mostly wet September the last third hasn’t be too bad with mild temperatures and drier conditions. It looks like the Jet Stream returns into October bringing more rain and also some windier conditions which could lead to Storm Brian.

Thursday: Early rain will clear to leave a reasonable day with sunny spells and it should remain dry. Max 17°C

Friday: Cloudy with another band of rain spreading west to east. It will clear into the afternoon with the odd shower to follow. Cooler. Max 16°C

Weekend: Saturday the better day of the two.

Saturday: Sunny spells and perhaps the odd shower. Feeling fresh. Max 15°C

Sunday: Rain, heavy at times arriving from the west and lasting most of the day. Looks like my golf competition could be a washout. Meh. Max 14°C

Outlook: Ex-hurricanes Maria and Lee, will influence our weather. It’s uncertain yet, after a spell of wind and rain (perhaps a named-storm), whether it settles down or remains wet. Time will tell as currently it could go either way.

One thing to note: the media and tabloids will have a field day but the predicted wet and windy weather for early October is nothing unusual as we tend to have our fair share of Autumnal storms.

Follow @ChadWeather for the latest weather forecasts.



Forecast issued on Wednesday the 27th of September 2017 at 6:15pm.

Thursday 14th September 2017 – Sunday 17th September 2017

Hi all,

Storm Aileen, our first named-storm of the season, certainly had the potential to deliver some strong gusts in excess of 60mph during the early hours of Wednesday, but failed to deliver. The track of the low was crucial and the path taken meant the stronger winds were located further south and southeast. I only recorded 33mph at 2:53am. The lowest pressure recorded was at 2:21am with a value of 984.19mb. Nothing unusual at all for Autumn.

Here’s the A-Z of named-storms from the Met Office.

Thursday: A day of sunshine and occasional showers which will arrive on a fresh, cool north-westerly wind. The showers should ease towards evening. Max 15°C

Friday: Little change with bright spells and showers. The breeze will be from the north so a chilly feel. Clear spells will lead to temperatures dipping into single figures. Max 14°C

Weekend: Improving slowly. Cool nights. 

Saturday: Plenty of cloud around with some bright spells. Some showers still likely, especially so in eastern areas. Max 15°C

Sunday: A cold start with perhaps a rural ground frost. Sunny spells developing and we should have killed off the showers so remaining dry. Max 15°C

Outlook: Not a bad start to next week. Dry with bright spells but showers are expected to return from midweek.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts across Manchester and its surrounding areas.


Image: Met Office

Forecast Issued at 13:40 on Wednesday the 13th of September 2017

Thursday 17th August 2017 – Sunday 20th August 2017

Hi all,

I still have high hopes for it being a reasonable, or even decent last week of August. Fingers crossed.

Thursday: Any early morning cloud and rain clears quickly, to give a warmer day than recently, with sunshine and some showers. Catch one and it will be heavy but they will be well-scattered. Max 21°C

Friday: We swing back to unsettled conditions. Much cooler with frequent showers and quite windy. Max 16°C

Weekend: Sunshine and showers to start.

Saturday: Fresh northwesterly winds with sunshine and showers. These more likely during the morning with the afternoon and evening likely to be drier. Max 16°C

Sunday: A tricky forecast, as ex-Hurricane Gert, now a low pressure, will be sitting to the northwest of the UK. With it comes wind and rain, nothing major, although the rain will be heavy. Some uncertainty on how far southeast the rain will track, so this forecast could change. At the moment, bright spells to start but becoming windy with rain arriving from the west during the day. A little humid. Max 18°C

Outlook: The arrival of Gert will disturb the Jet Stream and hopefully this will lead to high pressure building into next week bringing settled conditions with more in the way of warm sunshine.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest local forecasts.


Forecast Issued at 1:30pm on Wednesday the 16th of August 2017