Thursday 7th December 2017 – Sunday 10th December 2017

Hi all,

Apologies for the delay today I’ve been exploring the Manchester Christmas Markets and of course the food and beer. So then, a lot of hype this week about colder weather coming and whether it will snow or not and if yes, then how much and where, etc. etc. Interesting times ahead, tricky forecasting times ahead and one thing for sure, cold times ahead. Brrrrr.

Thursday: Storm Caroline brings early heavy, perhaps squally rain, which clears quickly. It will be windy and after a very mild start it will become colder and colder. Sunny spells will arrive with the Arctic air then showers will get going later into the afternoon which will start to turn wintry. Later in the evening and overnight sleet and snow showers will push down from the northwest on a stiff, bitterly cold wind. Don’t be surprised to see a covering of snow on Friday morning. Max 11°C occurring in the morning falling to 6°C by mid-afternoon.

Tit

Snow showers pushing down on a bitter NW’ly wind on Thursday night into Friday

Friday: Sleet and snow showers will become confined to western parts and most of us will enjoy some sunshine. It will feel very cold with a significant wind-chill. Max 2°C but feeling more like -3°C. Frost settling in overnight.

Weekend: Plenty of sunshine then a chance of snow.

Saturday: Frosty early and late with sunny spells during the day. Just a chance of a wintry shower to the west where it could be cloudier. Max 4°C

A chance of snow arriving from the southwest on Sunday but details far from certain

Sunday: A forecasters’ nightmare at the moment and be aware things could change. The current model output suggests a dry start but very cold with temperatures close to freezing. Rain coming in from the west or southwest towards midday will engage with the cold air and turn to snow. Some heavy snow looks possible but details at this stage are not certain, i.e. the band of rain/snow could stay away further south, so look out for further updates this week on Twitter. Low-lying areas (under 100M) more prone to sleet but travel disruption could occur in locations above this height. Max 2°C

Outlook: It will remain cold or very cold for the foreseeable with night frosts. There is another chance of snow on Thursday but again details can only be firmed up nearer the time. The cold spell is here to stay.

So to summarise we have a good chance of some snow Thursday into early Friday and also on Sunday.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for up to date forecasts and the latest on the possible snow.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 9:50pm on Wednesday the 6th of December 2017

Images: http://wxcharts.eu

Advertisements

Thursday 30th November 2017 – Sunday 3rd December 2017

Hi all,

We saw our first snowfall of the winter last week…. well actually no, it was our first snow-cover of autumn. Yes, it is still autumn, despite the cold and it’s been a wet (only 4 dry days) end to November but winter will finally be here, meteorologically-speaking, on Friday!

On Saturday, it’s time for the annual Saddleworth Santa Dash and Switch On! But will the weather be kind?

Thursday:  Dry with plenty of sunshine but still very cold after a severe-frost to start where rurally temperatures will have been close to -7°C. During the day the breeze will bring a sub-zero windchill. A frost will return overnight. Max 3°C

Friday:  Some sunny spells at times, especially early on. A frosty start again but with more cloud-cover not as cold as Thursday morning. Less in the way of clear skies overnight means any frost will be patchy. Slightly milder. Max 4°C

Weekend: Slightly milder with cloudy skies and some patchy rain. No frosts.

Saturday:  Cloudy with some patchy rain, not everywhere seeing some, turning less cold. Max 6°C

Sunday:  A similar picture with limited brightness and plenty of cloud. Not wet everywhere just some patches of drizzle especially on higher ground. Temperatures around average.  Max 9°C

Outlook: Mild and cloudy on Monday and early Tuesday, then colder air with some brighter skies will return. For now, no snow on the horizon which will disappoint all those Daily Express believers.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday the 29th of November 2017 at 3:40pm.

Thursday 9th of November 2017 – Sunday 12th of November 2017

Hi all,

Yep the media are still at it. Anyone got their sledges out? Nope. The weather does have a chill about it, already, but it is anyone’s guess what winter will bring.

Thursday: A cloudy start with milder air back again across the region. Some rain likely in the morning but patchy in nature. This will ease away and some bright spells will break out and lead to a drier afternoon. Max 11°C

Friday: A cloudy and breezy day with bright spells and some showers especially so in the morning. A band of rain moving through overnight. Max 10°C

Weekend: Cold, especially in the wind.

Saturday: A northwesterly airflow will take hold over the UK this weekend and it will feel cold. We’ll see some brightness on Saturday, but also some showers blown in on that keen breeze. Max 9°C

Sunday: A drier day is expected with sunny spells and a few lingering showers. Remaining cold with a frost likely overnight as skies clear. Max 9°C

Outlook: Slowly becoming less cold and cloudier after a decent Monday. Temperatures close or just below average. No sign of any snowfall or any named-storm on the horizon. We could become stuck under a cloudy-high, which means little sunshine but very settled conditions.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest localised forecasts.

You can also view hourly weather stats tweets at @OldhamWxStats and 1-minute data updates from my personal weather station on Wunderground.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 4:30pm on Wednesday the 8th of November
Image: wxcharts

Thursday 2nd November 2017 – Sunday 5th November 2017

Hi all,

Winter is still on the horizon but after a frost this week and a chilly outlook, it will be here sooner, rather than later. A lot of media stories this week; “Coldest Winter in 11 years” etc. etc. Just ignore them. It’s complete guesswork. No-one knows what this winter will bring. Got to love their annual BS.

Thursday: A mostly cloudy start with a risk of some patchy rain moving through but it will soon clear to leave a decent day with plenty of sunny spells and dry. Good news for those off to the Big Bang at Oldham Edge in the evening. Max 12°C

Friday: Cloudy with some light rain or drizzle dotted about especially so into the evening. Some bright spells can’t be ruled out in the odd sheltered location during the morning. Rain overnight. Max 11°C

Colder than average this weekend

Colder than average this weekend

Saturday: Any early morning rain clearing then colder with bright spells and showers which could fall as hail. Feeling cold in a gusty northwesterly wind. Max 9°C

Sunday: Bright spells after a chilly start. Risk of some showers on the keen breeze but these should ease as the day progresses. Remaining cold with temperatures just below average and a frost likely overnight. Max 9°C

Outlook for the rest of next week: High pressure builds from the west, so plenty of dry, settled weather. Not bad during daylight hours with light winds and sunny spells. Some patchy frost and fog overnight. Just one exception is Tuesday where we could have a narrowing band of rain and wind sweep through quickly.

October 2017

Max 19.4°C (16th)
Min 0.9°C (30th)
Av. 11.6°C
Wettest 21.4mm
Windiest 44mph
Rain 105.6mm
Rainy Days 20
Dry Days 11

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecast for your area.

Cheers
Jon

Images: www.wxcharts.eu
Forecast Issued at 8pm on Wednesday the 1st of November 2017

Thursday 19th October 2017 – Sunday 22nd October 2017

Hi all,

Autumn continues to live up to its name as we experienced some wild weather earlier this week. Ex-Hurricane Ophelia (Bizarre Storm) arrived as forecast but we escaped the worst. Chadderton recorded a 44mph gust but generally across the region it was 50-55mph with 70mph along the coast. What was unusual was it wasn’t hammering down with rain. Once morning-showers moved away, some lightning was recorded near Bury, then the day turned very strange indeed. I had noticed a weird ‘light’ on the way to work and soon the sky was filled with rolling cloud that looked very smoke-like and a glowing red sun. Ex-Ophelia’s southerly winds had pushed smoke particles from the Portuguese/Spanish wildfires and Saharan Sand northwards (Red Sun Phenomenon).

As you know we have named-storms and we are currently on ‘B’ as we had Aileen in September. The reason Ophelia wasn’t Brian was because she was already named and since she kept her strength, she remained named the same, even though an ex-Hurricane, as she arrived on our shores.

Storm Brian could well be here quicker than you think……

Thursday: A lot of cloud around but with some bright spells during the day after a misty start. With light winds it will feel pleasant and mild. However, the breeze will pick up later in the day with a risk of some showery rain developing especially to the south and east. Max 16°C

Friday: Fronts will arrive from the west, so a spell of rain which will be followed by brighter conditions and some showers. Breezy and fresher. Max 13°C

Weekend: Poor. Wet and very windy.

Brian

Storm Brian this weekend?

 

Saturday: A deep area of low pressure will have been forming out west on the Jet Stream and this system could well be named as Storm Brian. At the moment the strongest winds (70mph gusts) look to be heading to Southern Britain, but the track is still uncertain so watch tweets for updates. Currently, it will be a wet day with rain, heavy at times and windy with 40mph gusts. Feeling cold. Max 13°C

Sunday: The ‘storm’ will move into the North Sea but will introduce cold north-easterly winds and with it frequent showers which could be thundery. Remaining windy with gusts possible to 45mph during showers. Max 12°C

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with some spells of wind and rain broken up by some drier slots. Temperatures around or just above average.

Follow @Chadweather on Twitter to keep up to date with the local weather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of October 2017 at 1pm
Images: WXCHARTS – Follow them on Twitter.

Thursday 12th October 2017 – Sunday 15th October 2017

Hi all,

I’m back from a superb golfing holiday in Spain. If you missed the photos, the weather was amazing. Four days of 27-30°C and plenty of sunshine. Remind me again why I live in the UK. 😦 At least we will see some warmer air in time for the weekend.

Thursday: After a poor Wednesday, a much better day with plenty of sunny spells after a chilly start. Cloud will bubble up during the day but it will remain dry with lighter winds. Fresher. Max 15°C

Friday: That warmer air mass starts to arrive but with it rain at times on a keen southwesterly wind. There will be some drier slots. Muggy. Max 18°C

Weekend: Warm and not too much rain about.

Saturday: Generally cloudy with a risk of drizzle or light rain on coasts and hills to start. Hilltops could be misty or covered in low-cloud. As the day progresses it should dry up with some localised brightness and feeling warm for the time of year. Max 19°C

Sunday: Drier with bright spells at times. Still feeling warm with southerly winds especially in any sunshine. I have lots of BBQ food left…… hmmmmm. Max 19°C

Warmer 2

Ex-Hurricance Ophelia located to our southwest

Warmer 1

Above average temps: Warmer air ahead of ex-Hurricane Ophelia, cooler air behind it

Outlook: The remnants of Hurricane Ophelia, located to the southwest of the UK, may bring further warm air up from the south on Monday. With sunny spells on offer, temperatures could be close to 21°C. The rest of the coming days will be cooler and mostly cloudy before rain and wind returns.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 6pm on Wednesday the 11th of October 2017

Thursday 28th September 2017 – Sunday 1st October 2017

Hi all,

After a mostly wet September the last third hasn’t be too bad with mild temperatures and drier conditions. It looks like the Jet Stream returns into October bringing more rain and also some windier conditions which could lead to Storm Brian.

Thursday: Early rain will clear to leave a reasonable day with sunny spells and it should remain dry. Max 17°C

Friday: Cloudy with another band of rain spreading west to east. It will clear into the afternoon with the odd shower to follow. Cooler. Max 16°C

Weekend: Saturday the better day of the two.

Saturday: Sunny spells and perhaps the odd shower. Feeling fresh. Max 15°C

Sunday: Rain, heavy at times arriving from the west and lasting most of the day. Looks like my golf competition could be a washout. Meh. Max 14°C

Outlook: Ex-hurricanes Maria and Lee, will influence our weather. It’s uncertain yet, after a spell of wind and rain (perhaps a named-storm), whether it settles down or remains wet. Time will tell as currently it could go either way.

One thing to note: the media and tabloids will have a field day but the predicted wet and windy weather for early October is nothing unusual as we tend to have our fair share of Autumnal storms.

Follow @ChadWeather for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday the 27th of September 2017 at 6:15pm.

Thursday 14th September 2017 – Sunday 17th September 2017

Hi all,

Storm Aileen, our first named-storm of the season, certainly had the potential to deliver some strong gusts in excess of 60mph during the early hours of Wednesday, but failed to deliver. The track of the low was crucial and the path taken meant the stronger winds were located further south and southeast. I only recorded 33mph at 2:53am. The lowest pressure recorded was at 2:21am with a value of 984.19mb. Nothing unusual at all for Autumn.

Here’s the A-Z of named-storms from the Met Office.

Thursday: A day of sunshine and occasional showers which will arrive on a fresh, cool north-westerly wind. The showers should ease towards evening. Max 15°C

Friday: Little change with bright spells and showers. The breeze will be from the north so a chilly feel. Clear spells will lead to temperatures dipping into single figures. Max 14°C

Weekend: Improving slowly. Cool nights. 

Saturday: Plenty of cloud around with some bright spells. Some showers still likely, especially so in eastern areas. Max 15°C

Sunday: A cold start with perhaps a rural ground frost. Sunny spells developing and we should have killed off the showers so remaining dry. Max 15°C

Outlook: Not a bad start to next week. Dry with bright spells but showers are expected to return from midweek.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts across Manchester and its surrounding areas.

Thanks,
Jon 

Image: Met Office

Forecast Issued at 13:40 on Wednesday the 13th of September 2017

Thursday 13th July 2017 – Sunday 16th July 2017

Hi all,

Apologies the late blog today; too busy packing for Gran Canaria :).

I personally think we’re having a decent summer so far and although this week started off wet (the rain was needed), it’s settled down again and there are some hints that even warmer weather could return next week. 

Thursday: Sunny spells and feeling pleasant. There is a chance of a scattered shower. Max 21°C

Friday: Cloudier with some bright spells but it should be mostly dry after some morning showers. It will be breezy and cooler. Max 17°C

Saturday: Moist southwesterly winds will drag in warmer air again so feeling muggy. Some early rain is expected then it should become drier with some late-afternoon brightness which will lift the temperature. Max 20°C

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, some brightness and the odd isolated shower possible. Max 18°C

High pressure should be there or thereabouts next week

Outlook: High pressure could build in and bring warm settled conditions with sunny spells as we enter next week. If it remains and we drag in air from the continent then expect temperatures well into the 20s.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts. 

Thanks,
Jon 

Thursday 29th June 2017 – Sunday 2nd July 2017

Hi all,

Rain, rain and more rain fell on Wednesday making it one of the wettest June days I’ve recorded. The good news is the weather will improve in time for the weekend. 

Thursday: Cloudy with rain during the morning but it should be light and not as persistent as Wednesday. Slowly drier into the afternoon and a little warmer. Max 17°C

Friday: Generally cloudy again with some rain or showers at times. Breezy. Max 17°C

Weekend: An improvement but windy. 

Saturday: Sunny spells and mostly dry. Breezy especially later on and there will be some passing rain during the night. Max 17°C

Sunday: A fresh westerly wind but after any morning rain clears it should be dry with some bright spells. Max 16°C

Looking ahead: High pressure will try and push up from the south but not guaranteed to anchor itself over the UK. Overall a bit warmer and some drier slots with bright spells. 

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for further updates. 

Forecast Issued at 3:30pm on Wednesday the 28th of June 2017

Thanks,
Jon