Thursday 14th December 2017 – Sunday 17th December 2017

Hi all,

Sorry it’s a day late. Well what a busy few days that was, and nice to see some snowfall in the early stages of winter. It was a shame (a lot were relieved) that Sunday’s snowfall, which would have been 6 inches or more, ended up further south. Maybe next time…..

Thursday afternoon:  Some bright spells but also some wintry showers. Feeling bitter in the fresh westerly wind. During the evening and overnight a band of rain will move south which could be wintry on higher ground. Max 5°C

Friday: Breezy with Arctic air returning so feeling very cold after a frosty and icy start. Some sunny spells and wintry showers possible, especially to the northeast, so a chance of some hail or snow falling again. Max 4°C

Weekend: Saturday’s the better day.

Saturday:  Still cold with a sunny start but clouding over later in the day. I’m hopeful it does remain dry for most. Max 4°C

Sunday: A change on the way, rain arrives from the southwest and with it much milder air so temperatures lifting. Max 8°C

Outlook: Staying milder than recently with temperatures close to double-figures and with it plenty of cloud which brings a chance of hill-fog and some drizzle or light rain. Look out on Twitter for forecasts for Christmas Day. Early thoughts are, no chance of a White Christmas.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast Issued at 12:50pm on Thursday the 14th of December 2017

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Thursday 7th December 2017 – Sunday 10th December 2017

Hi all,

Apologies for the delay today I’ve been exploring the Manchester Christmas Markets and of course the food and beer. So then, a lot of hype this week about colder weather coming and whether it will snow or not and if yes, then how much and where, etc. etc. Interesting times ahead, tricky forecasting times ahead and one thing for sure, cold times ahead. Brrrrr.

Thursday: Storm Caroline brings early heavy, perhaps squally rain, which clears quickly. It will be windy and after a very mild start it will become colder and colder. Sunny spells will arrive with the Arctic air then showers will get going later into the afternoon which will start to turn wintry. Later in the evening and overnight sleet and snow showers will push down from the northwest on a stiff, bitterly cold wind. Don’t be surprised to see a covering of snow on Friday morning. Max 11°C occurring in the morning falling to 6°C by mid-afternoon.

Tit

Snow showers pushing down on a bitter NW’ly wind on Thursday night into Friday

Friday: Sleet and snow showers will become confined to western parts and most of us will enjoy some sunshine. It will feel very cold with a significant wind-chill. Max 2°C but feeling more like -3°C. Frost settling in overnight.

Weekend: Plenty of sunshine then a chance of snow.

Saturday: Frosty early and late with sunny spells during the day. Just a chance of a wintry shower to the west where it could be cloudier. Max 4°C

A chance of snow arriving from the southwest on Sunday but details far from certain

Sunday: A forecasters’ nightmare at the moment and be aware things could change. The current model output suggests a dry start but very cold with temperatures close to freezing. Rain coming in from the west or southwest towards midday will engage with the cold air and turn to snow. Some heavy snow looks possible but details at this stage are not certain, i.e. the band of rain/snow could stay away further south, so look out for further updates this week on Twitter. Low-lying areas (under 100M) more prone to sleet but travel disruption could occur in locations above this height. Max 2°C

Outlook: It will remain cold or very cold for the foreseeable with night frosts. There is another chance of snow on Thursday but again details can only be firmed up nearer the time. The cold spell is here to stay.

So to summarise we have a good chance of some snow Thursday into early Friday and also on Sunday.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for up to date forecasts and the latest on the possible snow.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 9:50pm on Wednesday the 6th of December 2017

Images: http://wxcharts.eu

Thursday 30th November 2017 – Sunday 3rd December 2017

Hi all,

We saw our first snowfall of the winter last week…. well actually no, it was our first snow-cover of autumn. Yes, it is still autumn, despite the cold and it’s been a wet (only 4 dry days) end to November but winter will finally be here, meteorologically-speaking, on Friday!

On Saturday, it’s time for the annual Saddleworth Santa Dash and Switch On! But will the weather be kind?

Thursday:  Dry with plenty of sunshine but still very cold after a severe-frost to start where rurally temperatures will have been close to -7°C. During the day the breeze will bring a sub-zero windchill. A frost will return overnight. Max 3°C

Friday:  Some sunny spells at times, especially early on. A frosty start again but with more cloud-cover not as cold as Thursday morning. Less in the way of clear skies overnight means any frost will be patchy. Slightly milder. Max 4°C

Weekend: Slightly milder with cloudy skies and some patchy rain. No frosts.

Saturday:  Cloudy with some patchy rain, not everywhere seeing some, turning less cold. Max 6°C

Sunday:  A similar picture with limited brightness and plenty of cloud. Not wet everywhere just some patches of drizzle especially on higher ground. Temperatures around average.  Max 9°C

Outlook: Mild and cloudy on Monday and early Tuesday, then colder air with some brighter skies will return. For now, no snow on the horizon which will disappoint all those Daily Express believers.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday the 29th of November 2017 at 3:40pm.

Thursday 16th November 2017 – Sunday 19th November 2017

Hi all,

The chilly feel has continued in November and although we’ve had a few days here and there with milder, damp weather, there’s not been a continous deluge of rain. Currently we’ve only had 29mm (102mm is the monthly average). Is the colder weather a sign of things to come? With La Nina underway there is an increased chance of a colder start to winter. See Liam Dutton’s video for more, La Nina.

Not only is Liam’s video informative, it is also keeping it real.

The latest Daily Express headline is more of their clickbait tactics, with over-the-top headlines and untrue statements.

BS

Moving on……

November Stats so far:

Nov 2017

Thursday: A band of patchy rain will move southeastwards during the morning and early afternoon to be replaced by sunny skies and drier conditions but with it, colder air. Max 10°C

Friday: High pressure out west so a settled day with sunny spells and a cold northwesterly breeze. Just the odd shower possible. Max 9°C

Saturday: A breezy day with perhaps a spell of cloud and light rain for a time in the morning. Bright spells developing later with a few showers and still cold. Max 8°C

Sunday: A bright, cold start, perhaps frosty, then cloud increasing with some milder air coming in from the west bringing with it rain as we get into the late-afternoon and evening. Max 8°C

Outlook: Dull and damp on Monday but hopefully drier and brighter thereafter, as high pressure builds. This increases the risk of fog and frost. No snow on the horizon but it will remain cold with temperatures struggling to double-figures.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up to date with the forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday 15th November 2017 at 12:30pm

Thursday 9th of November 2017 – Sunday 12th of November 2017

Hi all,

Yep the media are still at it. Anyone got their sledges out? Nope. The weather does have a chill about it, already, but it is anyone’s guess what winter will bring.

Thursday: A cloudy start with milder air back again across the region. Some rain likely in the morning but patchy in nature. This will ease away and some bright spells will break out and lead to a drier afternoon. Max 11°C

Friday: A cloudy and breezy day with bright spells and some showers especially so in the morning. A band of rain moving through overnight. Max 10°C

Weekend: Cold, especially in the wind.

Saturday: A northwesterly airflow will take hold over the UK this weekend and it will feel cold. We’ll see some brightness on Saturday, but also some showers blown in on that keen breeze. Max 9°C

Sunday: A drier day is expected with sunny spells and a few lingering showers. Remaining cold with a frost likely overnight as skies clear. Max 9°C

Outlook: Slowly becoming less cold and cloudier after a decent Monday. Temperatures close or just below average. No sign of any snowfall or any named-storm on the horizon. We could become stuck under a cloudy-high, which means little sunshine but very settled conditions.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest localised forecasts.

You can also view hourly weather stats tweets at @OldhamWxStats and 1-minute data updates from my personal weather station on Wunderground.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 4:30pm on Wednesday the 8th of November
Image: wxcharts

Thursday 19th October 2017 – Sunday 22nd October 2017

Hi all,

Autumn continues to live up to its name as we experienced some wild weather earlier this week. Ex-Hurricane Ophelia (Bizarre Storm) arrived as forecast but we escaped the worst. Chadderton recorded a 44mph gust but generally across the region it was 50-55mph with 70mph along the coast. What was unusual was it wasn’t hammering down with rain. Once morning-showers moved away, some lightning was recorded near Bury, then the day turned very strange indeed. I had noticed a weird ‘light’ on the way to work and soon the sky was filled with rolling cloud that looked very smoke-like and a glowing red sun. Ex-Ophelia’s southerly winds had pushed smoke particles from the Portuguese/Spanish wildfires and Saharan Sand northwards (Red Sun Phenomenon).

As you know we have named-storms and we are currently on ‘B’ as we had Aileen in September. The reason Ophelia wasn’t Brian was because she was already named and since she kept her strength, she remained named the same, even though an ex-Hurricane, as she arrived on our shores.

Storm Brian could well be here quicker than you think……

Thursday: A lot of cloud around but with some bright spells during the day after a misty start. With light winds it will feel pleasant and mild. However, the breeze will pick up later in the day with a risk of some showery rain developing especially to the south and east. Max 16°C

Friday: Fronts will arrive from the west, so a spell of rain which will be followed by brighter conditions and some showers. Breezy and fresher. Max 13°C

Weekend: Poor. Wet and very windy.

Brian

Storm Brian this weekend?

 

Saturday: A deep area of low pressure will have been forming out west on the Jet Stream and this system could well be named as Storm Brian. At the moment the strongest winds (70mph gusts) look to be heading to Southern Britain, but the track is still uncertain so watch tweets for updates. Currently, it will be a wet day with rain, heavy at times and windy with 40mph gusts. Feeling cold. Max 13°C

Sunday: The ‘storm’ will move into the North Sea but will introduce cold north-easterly winds and with it frequent showers which could be thundery. Remaining windy with gusts possible to 45mph during showers. Max 12°C

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with some spells of wind and rain broken up by some drier slots. Temperatures around or just above average.

Follow @Chadweather on Twitter to keep up to date with the local weather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of October 2017 at 1pm
Images: WXCHARTS – Follow them on Twitter.

Thursday 28th September 2017 – Sunday 1st October 2017

Hi all,

After a mostly wet September the last third hasn’t be too bad with mild temperatures and drier conditions. It looks like the Jet Stream returns into October bringing more rain and also some windier conditions which could lead to Storm Brian.

Thursday: Early rain will clear to leave a reasonable day with sunny spells and it should remain dry. Max 17°C

Friday: Cloudy with another band of rain spreading west to east. It will clear into the afternoon with the odd shower to follow. Cooler. Max 16°C

Weekend: Saturday the better day of the two.

Saturday: Sunny spells and perhaps the odd shower. Feeling fresh. Max 15°C

Sunday: Rain, heavy at times arriving from the west and lasting most of the day. Looks like my golf competition could be a washout. Meh. Max 14°C

Outlook: Ex-hurricanes Maria and Lee, will influence our weather. It’s uncertain yet, after a spell of wind and rain (perhaps a named-storm), whether it settles down or remains wet. Time will tell as currently it could go either way.

One thing to note: the media and tabloids will have a field day but the predicted wet and windy weather for early October is nothing unusual as we tend to have our fair share of Autumnal storms.

Follow @ChadWeather for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday the 27th of September 2017 at 6:15pm.

Thursday 14th September 2017 – Sunday 17th September 2017

Hi all,

Storm Aileen, our first named-storm of the season, certainly had the potential to deliver some strong gusts in excess of 60mph during the early hours of Wednesday, but failed to deliver. The track of the low was crucial and the path taken meant the stronger winds were located further south and southeast. I only recorded 33mph at 2:53am. The lowest pressure recorded was at 2:21am with a value of 984.19mb. Nothing unusual at all for Autumn.

Here’s the A-Z of named-storms from the Met Office.

Thursday: A day of sunshine and occasional showers which will arrive on a fresh, cool north-westerly wind. The showers should ease towards evening. Max 15°C

Friday: Little change with bright spells and showers. The breeze will be from the north so a chilly feel. Clear spells will lead to temperatures dipping into single figures. Max 14°C

Weekend: Improving slowly. Cool nights. 

Saturday: Plenty of cloud around with some bright spells. Some showers still likely, especially so in eastern areas. Max 15°C

Sunday: A cold start with perhaps a rural ground frost. Sunny spells developing and we should have killed off the showers so remaining dry. Max 15°C

Outlook: Not a bad start to next week. Dry with bright spells but showers are expected to return from midweek.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts across Manchester and its surrounding areas.

Thanks,
Jon 

Image: Met Office

Forecast Issued at 13:40 on Wednesday the 13th of September 2017

Thursday 7th September 2017 – Sunday 10th September 2017

Hi all,

Summer has been and gone (meteorologically speaking of course). Did anyone see it arrive? I remember June being quite settled late on and quite warm which ran on a little into July. August was very disappointing and the coolest summer month.

Av. Max. Temps

June 18.2°C
July 19.0°C
August 17.8°C

Av. Temps

June 15.0°C
July 15.4°C
August 14.5°C

Thursday: Bright spells, but with the general theme of cloud thickening during the day and the breeze will pick up. Rain arriving during the afternoon. Max 17°C

Friday: A lively day with plenty of showers, maybe thundery, and windy. Feeling cooler. Max 14°C

Weekend: Cool, showery and feeling autumnal.

Saturday: A breezy day with showers feeding in on a northwesterly wind. Cool. Max 14°C

Sunday: Showers will continue but with it some bright spells. Little change in the feel to the weather. Becoming windy into Monday. Max 15°C

Late Sunday

An unsettled weekend ending with the wind picking up & another low pressure

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with low pressure in charge bringing spells of rain or showers. Just a glimpse of something drier towards the end of next week.

Aug 2017 Stats

Max 22.8°C (shocker)
Min 7.7°C
Wettest 10.4mm
Windiest 32mph
Rain 58.2mm (drier than average)
Rainy Days 20 (grim)
Dry Days 11

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecast for your area.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 4:20pm on Wednesday the 6th of September 2017

Thursday 17th August 2017 – Sunday 20th August 2017

Hi all,

I still have high hopes for it being a reasonable, or even decent last week of August. Fingers crossed.

Thursday: Any early morning cloud and rain clears quickly, to give a warmer day than recently, with sunshine and some showers. Catch one and it will be heavy but they will be well-scattered. Max 21°C

Friday: We swing back to unsettled conditions. Much cooler with frequent showers and quite windy. Max 16°C

Weekend: Sunshine and showers to start.

Saturday: Fresh northwesterly winds with sunshine and showers. These more likely during the morning with the afternoon and evening likely to be drier. Max 16°C

Sunday: A tricky forecast, as ex-Hurricane Gert, now a low pressure, will be sitting to the northwest of the UK. With it comes wind and rain, nothing major, although the rain will be heavy. Some uncertainty on how far southeast the rain will track, so this forecast could change. At the moment, bright spells to start but becoming windy with rain arriving from the west during the day. A little humid. Max 18°C

Outlook: The arrival of Gert will disturb the Jet Stream and hopefully this will lead to high pressure building into next week bringing settled conditions with more in the way of warm sunshine.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest local forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 1:30pm on Wednesday the 16th of August 2017