Thursday 19th October 2017 – Sunday 22nd October 2017

Hi all,

Autumn continues to live up to its name as we experienced some wild weather earlier this week. Ex-Hurricane Ophelia (Bizarre Storm) arrived as forecast but we escaped the worst. Chadderton recorded a 44mph gust but generally across the region it was 50-55mph with 70mph along the coast. What was unusual was it wasn’t hammering down with rain. Once morning-showers moved away, some lightning was recorded near Bury, then the day turned very strange indeed. I had noticed a weird ‘light’ on the way to work and soon the sky was filled with rolling cloud that looked very smoke-like and a glowing red sun. Ex-Ophelia’s southerly winds had pushed smoke particles from the Portuguese/Spanish wildfires and Saharan Sand northwards (Red Sun Phenomenon).

As you know we have named-storms and we are currently on ‘B’ as we had Aileen in September. The reason Ophelia wasn’t Brian was because she was already named and since she kept her strength, she remained named the same, even though an ex-Hurricane, as she arrived on our shores.

Storm Brian could well be here quicker than you think……

Thursday: A lot of cloud around but with some bright spells during the day after a misty start. With light winds it will feel pleasant and mild. However, the breeze will pick up later in the day with a risk of some showery rain developing especially to the south and east. Max 16°C

Friday: Fronts will arrive from the west, so a spell of rain which will be followed by brighter conditions and some showers. Breezy and fresher. Max 13°C

Weekend: Poor. Wet and very windy.

Brian

Storm Brian this weekend?

 

Saturday: A deep area of low pressure will have been forming out west on the Jet Stream and this system could well be named as Storm Brian. At the moment the strongest winds (70mph gusts) look to be heading to Southern Britain, but the track is still uncertain so watch tweets for updates. Currently, it will be a wet day with rain, heavy at times and windy with 40mph gusts. Feeling cold. Max 13°C

Sunday: The ‘storm’ will move into the North Sea but will introduce cold north-easterly winds and with it frequent showers which could be thundery. Remaining windy with gusts possible to 45mph during showers. Max 12°C

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with some spells of wind and rain broken up by some drier slots. Temperatures around or just above average.

Follow @Chadweather on Twitter to keep up to date with the local weather.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 18th of October 2017 at 1pm
Images: WXCHARTS – Follow them on Twitter.

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Thursday 28th September 2017 – Sunday 1st October 2017

Hi all,

After a mostly wet September the last third hasn’t be too bad with mild temperatures and drier conditions. It looks like the Jet Stream returns into October bringing more rain and also some windier conditions which could lead to Storm Brian.

Thursday: Early rain will clear to leave a reasonable day with sunny spells and it should remain dry. Max 17°C

Friday: Cloudy with another band of rain spreading west to east. It will clear into the afternoon with the odd shower to follow. Cooler. Max 16°C

Weekend: Saturday the better day of the two.

Saturday: Sunny spells and perhaps the odd shower. Feeling fresh. Max 15°C

Sunday: Rain, heavy at times arriving from the west and lasting most of the day. Looks like my golf competition could be a washout. Meh. Max 14°C

Outlook: Ex-hurricanes Maria and Lee, will influence our weather. It’s uncertain yet, after a spell of wind and rain (perhaps a named-storm), whether it settles down or remains wet. Time will tell as currently it could go either way.

One thing to note: the media and tabloids will have a field day but the predicted wet and windy weather for early October is nothing unusual as we tend to have our fair share of Autumnal storms.

Follow @ChadWeather for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday the 27th of September 2017 at 6:15pm.

Thursday 14th September 2017 – Sunday 17th September 2017

Hi all,

Storm Aileen, our first named-storm of the season, certainly had the potential to deliver some strong gusts in excess of 60mph during the early hours of Wednesday, but failed to deliver. The track of the low was crucial and the path taken meant the stronger winds were located further south and southeast. I only recorded 33mph at 2:53am. The lowest pressure recorded was at 2:21am with a value of 984.19mb. Nothing unusual at all for Autumn.

Here’s the A-Z of named-storms from the Met Office.

Thursday: A day of sunshine and occasional showers which will arrive on a fresh, cool north-westerly wind. The showers should ease towards evening. Max 15°C

Friday: Little change with bright spells and showers. The breeze will be from the north so a chilly feel. Clear spells will lead to temperatures dipping into single figures. Max 14°C

Weekend: Improving slowly. Cool nights. 

Saturday: Plenty of cloud around with some bright spells. Some showers still likely, especially so in eastern areas. Max 15°C

Sunday: A cold start with perhaps a rural ground frost. Sunny spells developing and we should have killed off the showers so remaining dry. Max 15°C

Outlook: Not a bad start to next week. Dry with bright spells but showers are expected to return from midweek.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts across Manchester and its surrounding areas.

Thanks,
Jon 

Image: Met Office

Forecast Issued at 13:40 on Wednesday the 13th of September 2017

Thursday 7th September 2017 – Sunday 10th September 2017

Hi all,

Summer has been and gone (meteorologically speaking of course). Did anyone see it arrive? I remember June being quite settled late on and quite warm which ran on a little into July. August was very disappointing and the coolest summer month.

Av. Max. Temps

June 18.2°C
July 19.0°C
August 17.8°C

Av. Temps

June 15.0°C
July 15.4°C
August 14.5°C

Thursday: Bright spells, but with the general theme of cloud thickening during the day and the breeze will pick up. Rain arriving during the afternoon. Max 17°C

Friday: A lively day with plenty of showers, maybe thundery, and windy. Feeling cooler. Max 14°C

Weekend: Cool, showery and feeling autumnal.

Saturday: A breezy day with showers feeding in on a northwesterly wind. Cool. Max 14°C

Sunday: Showers will continue but with it some bright spells. Little change in the feel to the weather. Becoming windy into Monday. Max 15°C

Late Sunday

An unsettled weekend ending with the wind picking up & another low pressure

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with low pressure in charge bringing spells of rain or showers. Just a glimpse of something drier towards the end of next week.

Aug 2017 Stats

Max 22.8°C (shocker)
Min 7.7°C
Wettest 10.4mm
Windiest 32mph
Rain 58.2mm (drier than average)
Rainy Days 20 (grim)
Dry Days 11

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecast for your area.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 4:20pm on Wednesday the 6th of September 2017

Thursday 24th August 2017 – Bank Holiday Monday 28th August 2017

Hi all,

I’m off to Cornwall on Thursday and the weather is looking ‘good enough’, as I’ll be closer to high pressure, than most of the rest of the UK. No sign of blistering heat and unbroken sunshine for me or any of us as we come to the end of August. Now when did that BBQ last come out?

Thursday: Some showers during the morning moving west to east. These will ease from mid-afternoon with some pleasant sunny spells. Max 19°C

Friday: A lot of dry weather with some warm bright spells and light winds. Max 19°C

Weekend: A lot of dry weather with some bright spells. Quite warm.

Saturday: Bright spells with the risk of an isolated shower. A lot of cloud about but pleasant in any sunshine which will creep the temperatures up. Max 20°C

Sunday: Another reasonable day with some breaks in the cloud allowing for some warm sunshine. Max 19°C

Bank Holiday Monday: Initially it was looking bleak and I tweeted earlier this week that it would be wet and windy. Well it shouldn’t be too bad for the first half of the day with similar conditions to recently. The wind will pick up though and rain is likely to spread in from the northwest into the afternoon. Let’s hope it holds off until evening. Max 19°C

Beyond Monday and the signs are that we will be sandwiched between low pressure (NW) and high pressure (SW), so it will be breezy with quite a lot of cloud. Expect some brightness but also occasional showers. No real change in temperatures as official Summer comes to a close.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest local forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 10:30pm on Wednesday the 23rd of August 2017

Thursday 3rd August 2017 – Sunday 6th August 2017

Hi all,

First off, still no sign of anything summery and worth a BBQ in the next 5 days. After that, there is a chance high pressure builds in from the southwest.

Today is the 8th day in a row with rain, the 17th day in the last 21; not the summer we hoped for after it had started well.

Short-term; little change.

Showery

Low pressure continues to bring unsettled conditions with showers

Thursday: A windy day with frequent blustery showers which could be thundery. The widespread showers should become a bit more scattered later in the day. Feeling quite warm and humid despite the rainfall. Max 19°C

Friday: Low pressure still in charge. Breezy with bright spells and showers, and some heavy. With more of a westerly airflow it will be cooler. Max 17°C

Weekend: Not too bad overall

Saturday: A cool breeze but it should not be as windy as previous days. Sunny spells and just a scattering of showers. Max 16°C

Sunday: Bright spells and any showers should fade by the afternoon as cloud increases with a risk of some light rain from the west overnight or into Monday. A little milder. Max 18°C

Outlook: Rain early next week then hopefully high pressure squeezes in from the southwest and settles things down, so becoming drier, sunnier and a little warmer. BUT, latest forecasts suggest, it will be short-lived.

July 2017 Stats

Max 24.9°C (disappointing)
Min 9.9°C
Wettest 17.4mm
Windiest 36mph
Rain 75.2mm (average)
Rainy Days 23 (ouch!)
Dry Days 8

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecast for your area.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 12:45pm on Wednesday the 2nd of August 2017

Thursday 24th November 2016 – Sunday 27th November 2016

Hi all,

Well that certainly was an active week of weather. Snow for many places above 250M on Friday morning, followed by 45-50mph gusts and 2-3 inches of rain on Monday, with almost an inch falling in an hour, with serious flash floods following.

Here in Chadderton, some records were broken.

  • 45mm of rain in 1 day beating Boxing Day 2015
  • 21.6mm of rain in any 1-hour period

Again, I would like to thank all those that tweeted me with photos, videos and information about local roads affected. These kind of instant ‘news flashes’ keeps everyone in the know quicker than anything else.

After all that, we have a much quieter week ahead as November eases toward an end.

high-pressure-set-to-hang-around-for-5-6-days

High pressure set to bring drier and settled conditions for the next 5 days


Thursday: 
A chilly start with a local patchy frost. A lovely day ahead with sunny spells and dry. A risk of an overnight frost. Max 8°C

Friday: Similar conditions with maybe more in the way of cloud as bright spells develop during the day. Max 8°C

cloud-cover

A lot of cloud expected this weekend – any breaks likely in western areas


Saturday: 
With an easterly feed now in place, we will drag in more cloud from the North sea. So although it should remain dry, it will feel colder with less sunshine on offer. The cloud however will mean a frost-free night. Max 7°C

Sunday: Little change from yesterday. Cloudy, feeling cold and in places, especially on the hills, the cloud might be thick enough for some drizzle. Max 8°C

Outlook: High pressure to start next week but it is replaced by some rain from the west. Remaining on the chilly side as we go through the week. Early signs point towards a colder start to December.

If you’re into weather charts then have a look at this website, http://wxcharts.eu/, some great charts, features and animations.

To keep up to date with the local weather around Manchester, Tameside and Lancashire then follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

Image/GIF: http://wxcharts.eu/

Forecast issued at 16:00 on Wednesday 23rd November 2016

 

Thursday 10th November 2016 – Sunday 13th November 2016

Hi all,

So we’re about 10 days into November and some areas have already experienced a ‘winter’ feel with some snow falling on higher ground on Tuesday night and into Wednesday. This is much earlier in the year/season than we are normally accustomed to. As things stand, the ingredients are all there for this coming winter to be a colder-than-average one and possibly, in my opinion, the coldest since 2010/11. Time will tell.

Thursday: An improvement on recent days with bright spells and milder. Some showers expected which could be heavy. Drier into the evening. Max 8°C

Friday: A little cooler again so a fresh feel but better with bright spells and mostly dry conditions. Rain will be trying to push in from the west overnight. Max 7°C

Not a great start to the weekend.

Saturday: Rain heavy at times makes slow progress across the region and slightly milder, showery weather follows. Breezy. Max 10°C

Sunday: Any showers should ease away and an improvement during the day. Bright spells and hopefully most places dry into the afternoon. Max 9°C

A slice of milder air into next week but cooler air should return

Looking ahead and next week looks milder but possibly only for several days then the cooler air returns. Whilst mild, expect some showers or longer spells of rain.

Keep up to date with your local weather forecasts by following @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

Images: http://www.netweather.tv
Forecast Issued: Wednesday 9th November 2016 at 12:20

Thursday 27th October 2016 – Sunday 30th October 2016

Hi,

October is still on course to be an exceptionally dry month as it comes to an end with little rain to speak of.

With winter on the horizon, the talk (if you can call it that) has already started of “120 days of snow.” etc., etc. There are signs that this winter has a much better chance of being colder-than-average and hence increase the chance of snow, but as always, things can change.

If you would like more detail and not an over-the-top complex view of what our winter set-up could be like, then read my friend’s article, http://www.chorleyweather.com/weak-polar-vortex-could-bring-an-early-uk-winter/.

Currently, we have low pressure to our northwest and high pressure to our south, with us sandwiched in between. We now have a westerly flow so we are milder than recently.

Thursday: Quite cloudy with limited bright spells. Some passing drizzle or light rain possible at times especially on high ground. Breezy but mild. Max 14°C

Friday: Little change. Plenty of cloud and mild. Less of a breeze hopefully. Some localised drizzle but most places staying dry. Max 14°C

Saturday: A dry day with mostly cloudy conditions. Any early mist will lift. Light winds with high pressure close by. Max 13°C

Sunday: Rain could be pushing into western parts of the U.K. but we look to remain dry once again with mostly cloudy skies. Some brightness possible in eastern parts. Max 13°C

Slowly a change to a north or northwesterly airflow next week

Next Week: Not guaranteed but it’s looking more and more likely that winds will turn to come from a colder northerly or northwesterly direction as the week progresses. This will bring sunny spells, the odd shower and daytime temperatures in single-figures as well as possible frosty nights.

Our weather is always changing so keep up to date by following @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Thanks,
Jon

Image: http://www.netweather.tv
Forecast issued at 12:15pm on Wednesday 26th of October 2016

Thursday 20th October 2016 – Sunday 23rd October

Hi all,

I had a feeling the second half of October would be “rain-fuelled”. After a few days of rain you would think the same, but another blocking high pressure is set to dominate our weather which could give some overnight mist or fog as well as localised pockets of frost.

Thursday: A chilly start but a mainly dry day ahead with some sunny spells. Risk of a very isolated shower in the afternoon. Light winds. Max 13°C

Friday: Possibly a misty start, then bright spells developing, but some thicker cloud from the east at times just might produce a light shower. The general theme is for mainly dry conditions. Max 12°C

High pressure close by is set to dominate our weather again

Saturday: A cool easterly breeze starts to pick up during Saturday so feeling cooler. Another dry day though with bright spells after low-cloud to start. Max 11°C

Sunday: Little change from Saturday. Plenty of dry weather. Bright or sunny spells but a cold easterly wind. Max 11°C

Next Week: Low pressure to our southwest and high pressure to our northeast or east means we continue to be dry <October is turning out to be very dry indeed> and under the influence of a cool easterly airflow.

As always, follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 10:45am on Wednesday 19th October 2016
Images: http://www.ukweatherforecast.co.uk