Thursday 18th January 2018 – Sunday 21st January 2018

Hi all,

We are halfway through winter and we were reminded this week with snow returning to some parts as well as plenty of hail and some thundersnow. After last week’s dank slow-weather days we are back up and running with plenty to talk about. There is some more snow on the way.

Lightning 160118

Lightning Strikes: Tuesday saw thunder and lightning, giving some of us thundersnow

Thursday: The early hours and early morning will be very windy with 50-55mph gusts across the region as a low pressure moves through. The thinking was that this system would be named but it is now less intense and therefore hasn’t been christened. It will briefly become milder but during the morning winds will die down somewhat and it will become colder again. After all that we will see a day of sunshine and frequent thundery wintry showers which will fall as snow above 200M. Max 5°C

Snow showers on Friday

Wintry showers, including some snow, will be blown in again on Friday

Friday: A colder day and windy with more wintry showers feeding in. Again, these could be thundery with hail and snow. Snow showers expected almost anywhere but especially on higher ground where it is likely to settle. Max 3°C

Snow Depth cm by the end of Friday

Predicted snow depth (cm) by the end of Friday

Weekend: Saturday’s the day!

Saturday: A frosty start with snow-cover in places from yesterday’s showers. However a decent day ahead. Dry with sunny spells and cold. A perfect winter’s day. Max 4°C

Sunday: A cold start and perhaps briefly dry. Rain (timings still uncertain at this stage) will then move in from the west preceeded by snow in places, especially on the hills and Pennines, but all areas seeing it turn to rain as it becomes slowly milder later. A thaw of any remaining lying snow. Max 7°C

Outlook: Temperatures average for the time of year but with our weather favouring coming in from the Atlantic, we can expect some spells of rain at times. Chilly nights with some patchy frost.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for frequent weather updates.


Forecast issued: 10:15am on Wednesday the 17th of January 2018
Images: and 


Thursday 11th January 2018 – Sunday 14th January 2018

Hi all,

The average maximum temperature for January is about 6°C. Currently we are below, standing at 3.9°C, but with little snow to show for it. I am pinning my hopes on some snow showers next week and a colder end to January but this is just a [hopeful] ‘thought’ and not a certainty.

Thursday: A foggy start, which could cause travel disruption on roads and at the airports, and some patchy frost too. It will be a cold day with some bright spells developing. Fog could linger in places and where it does it will not get much above freezing. Max 4°C

Friday: Little change with a murky start. A dry day to follow with some bright spells
where the low-cloud lifts but general mostly cloudy. Breezy later. Max 5°C

Weekend: Could be better

Saturday: Cloud thickening from the west with some patchy rain arriving slowly. A dull day all round. Max 6°C

Sunday: Any rain easing away and we will see some bright spells developing, but again more cloudy than bright, so a disappointing weekend overall. A more active weather front looks set to sweep rain across the region later on Sunday evening and overnight leading to a more active pattern. Max 5°C

Outlook: After the rain on Sunday we could well see a set-up of cold north-westerly winds with frequent wintry showers, so some snow possible next week, especially so on higher ground and a cold wind for all.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for frequent updates.

December 2017 Stats

Max 11.1°C (7th)
Min -5.2°C (12th)
Av. 4.2°C (below average)
Wettest 13.6mm
Windiest 38mph
Rain 85.4mm (below average)
Rainy Days 28 (grim!)
Dry Days 3
Air Frosts 11
Snow Falling Days 9
Snow Lying Days 4


Forecast Issued at 1:30pm on Wednesday the 10th of January 2018

Thursday 4th January 2018 – Sunday 7th January 2018

Hi all,

Happy New Year and all the best for 2018!

I hinted that we would end 2017 with a named-storm and in rolled Storm Dylan to be followed by Storm Eleanor yesterday. The Jet Stream has been in charge of our weather in recent days but it will split this weekend and high pressure will build. A northeasterly flow will develop and we will enter a much colder but drier spell of weather.

Thursday: Cloudy with rain for the morning turning showery into the afternoon as the rain band pushes slowly north. We are still in the mild air so temperatures just above average. Max 8°C

Friday: Cloudy with some showers. There will be a little bit of brightness too and as the day progresses, it will get colder. Max 4°C

Weekend: Dry and colder with a biting wind-chill.

Saturday: Cold and mostly dry with some bright spells and the chance of a wintry shower blown in on a freezing northeasterly wind. Widespread frost overnight. Max 4°C

Sunday: Dry with sunny spells after a frosty start. Less breezy, so a pleasant day to get out and about if you’re wrapped up well. Frost returning at night and if winds fall light enough perhaps some fog. Max 4°C

Outlook: High pressure will face a battle with fronts trying to push in from the Atlantic. It will remain cold with plenty of dry weather. Cloud will increase from the west with a risk of rain, preceded by snow, possibly pushing the high pressure away by midweek. If this happens it would turn milder but there’s a reasonable chance that we get ‘locked in’ to the cold for while. Look out for updates on Twitter.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for your weather forecasts.



Forecast issued at 3:45pm on Wednesday January 3rd 2018

Thursday 28th December 2017 – Sunday 31st December 2017

Hi all,

I hope you all had a great Christmas and have managed to return to feeling less stuffed. So it wasn’t a White Christmas here but we did see some snow on the higher routes on Boxing Day morning. As you’ve probably seen, we missed out on another snow event last night as a band of heavy rain mixed with the cold air further south and brought chaos to some of the motorway and road networks. When will it be our turn?

Thursday: A cold and frosty start for most but there is a chance that we could see a few sleet or snow showers earlier in the morning which might give a dusting in places. A nice day will follow with plenty of winter sunshine. A slight breeze making it feel bitter. Max 3°C

Friday: Change on the way. Cloud and light rain, perhaps preceded by snow for a few hours, will move in quickly from the west. The snow may settle briefly especially on the hills and Pennines. After a drier slot further rain will arrive later and with it milder air. Max 6°C

Weekend: Milder and windy.

Saturday: Windy with some showers and drier spells in between. Mostly cloudy and notably milder. Max 10°C

New Year’s Eve: Staying windy with gusts to 40mph and after a spell of rain showers will follow. Remaining mild but feeling colder with the wind. Be prepared for some rain into the evening and around midnight but don’t let it dampen your celebrations. Max 9°C

Outlook: Staying lively as the Jet Stream gathers pace, with rain and windy spells at times. Mostly mild but colder spells in between low pressure systems.

Finally, thanks for all your tweets and support this year. I wish you all the very best for 2018, have a good one!



Follow on Twitter at @ChadWeather.

Hourly weather data at @OldhamWxStats.

Weather data every minute at

Forecast Issued at 12:25pm on Wednesday the 27th of December 2017.

Thursday 21st December 2017 – Monday 25th December 2017

Hi all,

So far December has been a month of variations and, as of the 19th, we are colder and drier than average. With the recent snow and bitterly cold temperatures some of us might be hoping for a White Christmas. It’s not going to happen this year folks.

Thursday: Cloudy with spells of light rain or drizzle with hill-fog for most of the day. Another drab day but most of the rain should ease away into the afternoon. Mild. Max 10°C

Friday: Mostly cloudy, patches of mist/fog and remaining mild. There is a chance of some brightness (forgotten what that is!) developing, especially in eastern parts, during the day. Max 10°C

Saturday: Perhaps, don’t hold your breath, a bright start but cloud increasing and the breeze picking it. Some rain likely later in the day. The wind remains from the southwest so above average temperatures again. Max 10°C

Christmas Eve: Windy with cloudy skies. Rain likely as the day progresses and it will be heavy on western-facing hills and in the northwest. Very mild. Max 11°C

Christmas Day: A day of change albeit slowly. A damp day, bah humbug!, with some rain moving south. It will remain mostly cloudy and mild but a little cooler than lately. Later into the evening and overnight colder air will arrive from the northwest. To warrant a White Christmas we need a single snowflake falling before midnight and this is highly unlikely. Max 9°C

Outlook: Colder at times but with spells of rain and possible gales coming in from the west. Don’t rule out another named-storm before we see out 2017.

Finally, I wish you all a very Merry Christmas and all the best for 2018!


Forecast issued at 11:15am on Wednesday 20th of December 2017


Thursday 14th December 2017 – Sunday 17th December 2017

Hi all,

Sorry it’s a day late. Well what a busy few days that was, and nice to see some snowfall in the early stages of winter. It was a shame (a lot were relieved) that Sunday’s snowfall, which would have been 6 inches or more, ended up further south. Maybe next time…..

Thursday afternoon:  Some bright spells but also some wintry showers. Feeling bitter in the fresh westerly wind. During the evening and overnight a band of rain will move south which could be wintry on higher ground. Max 5°C

Friday: Breezy with Arctic air returning so feeling very cold after a frosty and icy start. Some sunny spells and wintry showers possible, especially to the northeast, so a chance of some hail or snow falling again. Max 4°C

Weekend: Saturday’s the better day.

Saturday:  Still cold with a sunny start but clouding over later in the day. I’m hopeful it does remain dry for most. Max 4°C

Sunday: A change on the way, rain arrives from the southwest and with it much milder air so temperatures lifting. Max 8°C

Outlook: Staying milder than recently with temperatures close to double-figures and with it plenty of cloud which brings a chance of hill-fog and some drizzle or light rain. Look out on Twitter for forecasts for Christmas Day. Early thoughts are, no chance of a White Christmas.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.



Forecast Issued at 12:50pm on Thursday the 14th of December 2017

Thursday 7th December 2017 – Sunday 10th December 2017

Hi all,

Apologies for the delay today I’ve been exploring the Manchester Christmas Markets and of course the food and beer. So then, a lot of hype this week about colder weather coming and whether it will snow or not and if yes, then how much and where, etc. etc. Interesting times ahead, tricky forecasting times ahead and one thing for sure, cold times ahead. Brrrrr.

Thursday: Storm Caroline brings early heavy, perhaps squally rain, which clears quickly. It will be windy and after a very mild start it will become colder and colder. Sunny spells will arrive with the Arctic air then showers will get going later into the afternoon which will start to turn wintry. Later in the evening and overnight sleet and snow showers will push down from the northwest on a stiff, bitterly cold wind. Don’t be surprised to see a covering of snow on Friday morning. Max 11°C occurring in the morning falling to 6°C by mid-afternoon.


Snow showers pushing down on a bitter NW’ly wind on Thursday night into Friday

Friday: Sleet and snow showers will become confined to western parts and most of us will enjoy some sunshine. It will feel very cold with a significant wind-chill. Max 2°C but feeling more like -3°C. Frost settling in overnight.

Weekend: Plenty of sunshine then a chance of snow.

Saturday: Frosty early and late with sunny spells during the day. Just a chance of a wintry shower to the west where it could be cloudier. Max 4°C

A chance of snow arriving from the southwest on Sunday but details far from certain

Sunday: A forecasters’ nightmare at the moment and be aware things could change. The current model output suggests a dry start but very cold with temperatures close to freezing. Rain coming in from the west or southwest towards midday will engage with the cold air and turn to snow. Some heavy snow looks possible but details at this stage are not certain, i.e. the band of rain/snow could stay away further south, so look out for further updates this week on Twitter. Low-lying areas (under 100M) more prone to sleet but travel disruption could occur in locations above this height. Max 2°C

Outlook: It will remain cold or very cold for the foreseeable with night frosts. There is another chance of snow on Thursday but again details can only be firmed up nearer the time. The cold spell is here to stay.

So to summarise we have a good chance of some snow Thursday into early Friday and also on Sunday.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for up to date forecasts and the latest on the possible snow.


Forecast issued at 9:50pm on Wednesday the 6th of December 2017


Thursday 30th November 2017 – Sunday 3rd December 2017

Hi all,

We saw our first snowfall of the winter last week…. well actually no, it was our first snow-cover of autumn. Yes, it is still autumn, despite the cold and it’s been a wet (only 4 dry days) end to November but winter will finally be here, meteorologically-speaking, on Friday!

On Saturday, it’s time for the annual Saddleworth Santa Dash and Switch On! But will the weather be kind?

Thursday:  Dry with plenty of sunshine but still very cold after a severe-frost to start where rurally temperatures will have been close to -7°C. During the day the breeze will bring a sub-zero windchill. A frost will return overnight. Max 3°C

Friday:  Some sunny spells at times, especially early on. A frosty start again but with more cloud-cover not as cold as Thursday morning. Less in the way of clear skies overnight means any frost will be patchy. Slightly milder. Max 4°C

Weekend: Slightly milder with cloudy skies and some patchy rain. No frosts.

Saturday:  Cloudy with some patchy rain, not everywhere seeing some, turning less cold. Max 6°C

Sunday:  A similar picture with limited brightness and plenty of cloud. Not wet everywhere just some patches of drizzle especially on higher ground. Temperatures around average.  Max 9°C

Outlook: Mild and cloudy on Monday and early Tuesday, then colder air with some brighter skies will return. For now, no snow on the horizon which will disappoint all those Daily Express believers.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.


Forecast issued on Wednesday the 29th of November 2017 at 3:40pm.

Thursday 23rd of November 2017 – Sunday 26th November 2017

Hi all,

Well hello weather, we welcomed back our typical Autumn this week, with an inch of rain falling in the first few days. We’ve also had a bit more snow-talk on the grapevine and this time there is some truth in the rumours. No no, don’t get your sledges out just yet, just be ready for a cold weekend with a risk of wintry showers.

Thursday: A mild start with some bright spells but showers will start to appear as the day progresses. Remaining windy and slowly becoming colder. Max 9°C

Friday: A better day and hopefully we will escape with a dry one with sunny spells. It will feel colder again with temperatures really struggling, leading to a slight frost overnight. Max 6°C

Weekend: Cold and breezy with wintry showers and some night-time frosts.

Wintry Showers

Wintry showers, some falling as snow especially on Saturday

Saturday: A bitter day with some bright spells and wintry showers which will could fall as hail or sleet. Some snow showers are possible, in any heavier bursts and certainly more likely on higher ground. Max 5°C

Sunday: More in the way of sunshine with a few wintry showers left over, but there shouldn’t be as many as Saturday. Still cold, especially with the freshening breeze ahead of rain due late-evening and overnight. Max 6°C

Outlook: A touch milder with some rain but then it seems the colder air returns and with it the risk of wintry showers and overnight frosts.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.


Forecast Issued on Wednesday 22nd of November 2017 at 11:35am.

Thursday 16th November 2017 – Sunday 19th November 2017

Hi all,

The chilly feel has continued in November and although we’ve had a few days here and there with milder, damp weather, there’s not been a continous deluge of rain. Currently we’ve only had 29mm (102mm is the monthly average). Is the colder weather a sign of things to come? With La Nina underway there is an increased chance of a colder start to winter. See Liam Dutton’s video for more, La Nina.

Not only is Liam’s video informative, it is also keeping it real.

The latest Daily Express headline is more of their clickbait tactics, with over-the-top headlines and untrue statements.


Moving on……

November Stats so far:

Nov 2017

Thursday: A band of patchy rain will move southeastwards during the morning and early afternoon to be replaced by sunny skies and drier conditions but with it, colder air. Max 10°C

Friday: High pressure out west so a settled day with sunny spells and a cold northwesterly breeze. Just the odd shower possible. Max 9°C

Saturday: A breezy day with perhaps a spell of cloud and light rain for a time in the morning. Bright spells developing later with a few showers and still cold. Max 8°C

Sunday: A bright, cold start, perhaps frosty, then cloud increasing with some milder air coming in from the west bringing with it rain as we get into the late-afternoon and evening. Max 8°C

Outlook: Dull and damp on Monday but hopefully drier and brighter thereafter, as high pressure builds. This increases the risk of fog and frost. No snow on the horizon but it will remain cold with temperatures struggling to double-figures.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up to date with the forecasts.


Forecast Issued: Wednesday 15th November 2017 at 12:30pm