Thursday 31st December 2015 – Sunday 3rd January 2016

Hi,

I hope you all had a fantastic Christmas and I’d like to wish you all, the best of wishes for 2016!

What a week it’s has been. The Boxing Day floods, the continuation of crazy well-above-average mild temperatures and then a brief flirt with #StormFrank. Here’s what to expect as we see out 2015 and welcome in the New Year.

New Year’s Eve (Thursday) will have some early showers around. These move away to introduce some brief bright spells. More showers into the afternoon with some gusty winds. Feeling colder especially in the breeze and some thunder or hail in the showers can’t be ruled out. If you’re out later on celebrating, it should be drier and in fact quite cold with some ice or frost forming during the night. Max 7°C.

Cold Start to Jan 1st

A cold and possibly icy/frosty start to January the 1st

After a cold start it looks set fair on Friday as 2016 arrives. Plenty of dry weather around during the day with bright spells and feeling much more seasonal. Winds picking up later in the day and overnight. Cold. Max 5°C.

It will feel quite chilly on Saturday with a keen southeasterly wind. It should start dry but cloudy and bands of rain are expected into the afternoon. Max 8°C.

A similar story into Sunday. Cloudy with some rain around early on. This clears and we’ll hopefully see a drier slot before another low pressure to our southwest brings a risk of rain into the evening. Its track is still uncertain so we could escape with a dry afternoon/evening. Still a fresh breeze taking a little edge off the temperatures. Max 8°C.

Jet Stream Tracks South

Jet Stream slips just that bit further South next week

Looking ahead into next week and the Jet Stream tracks slightly further south so it shouldn’t be as wild or as mild but still some rain or showers around. Cool too, so all-in-all a more typical feel to our weather.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for all your weather updates for Manchester and its surrounding boroughs.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

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Thursday 24th December 2015 – Sunday 27th December 2015

Hi all,

Firstly, I’d like to wish you all a very happy Christmas and all the best for 2016. Have a good one folks.

Now unfortunately it isn’t going to be a White Christmas as December keeps up the wet and mild theme. However, there is the possibly of some stormy weather on the way before the year is out.

It will start wet and windy on Christmas Eve as rain sweeps through from the tail-end of Storm Eva. It will be followed on by sunshine and some showers. Cooler as the day progresses.  Max 9°C.

Christmas Day will start chilly across the region with the possibility of a local ground frost. Cloud will thicken and rain will arrive during the day to give a wet afternoon and turning much milder into the evening. Max 11°C.

All eyes on Boxing Day as a band of rain could become stagnant across the northwest. It will be mild and breezy but there is concern that the rain could be persistent and heavy and introduce localised flooding but there is a chance it could linger away further north than our location. One to watch. Max 11°C.

Boxing_Day_Rain

Boxing Day rain-risk

The rain should slowly ease away on Sunday leaving a cloudy day but drier with the mild conditions continuing under southerly winds. Max 12°C.

Looking ahead to next week and there is a chance of some stormy weather after a few more mild and breezy days. The GFS computer model has an intense storm for the 30th of December which would certainly cause issues. Looking further ahead and obviously open to change, there is another storm looming on the GFS for the first day of 2016 and it is a whopper! As you know predicting this far ahead is daft, as it changes so often, but I am getting this feeling that we are in for a notable storm within the next 10 days. Hang on to your hats!

30_storm

Possible storm on the 30th?


01_storm

Even stronger storm to welcome in 2016?

To keep up to date with all your local weather then follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

Enjoy the festive break.

Jon

Thursday 17th December 2015 – Sunday 20th December 2015

Hi all,

You’d be forgiven for thinking it was spring outside today as temperatures are very much on the mild side with 14°C in some spots. The mild theme looks set to continue before we do cool slightly towards Christmas. Cool yes, but not enough for a White Christmas.

Looking at the latest Christmas Day forecast all I’m seeing is mild with temperatures above average, max 11°C, rain possible, all blown in on a moist south to southwesterly wind. Grim reading for cold-lovers wishing for a snowy 25th of December. So the next 4 days…..

XmasDayTemp

Thursday will be generally cloudy with some rain spreading across the region during the day on a steady breeze. Slightly drier later on and another very mild day. Max 12°C.

We will have more weather fronts coming in from the west and southwest during Friday and Saturday. Both days will have plenty of cloud, mild with rain at times but unlikely to be as persitent or as heavy as we had last Saturday which caused localised flooding and the postponement of Oldham Athletic’s home game. Friday sees our best chance of some brightness until rain arrives. Saturday will be the mildest day, or should I say warmest, and temperatures [night-time] could be December record-breaking across some parts of the UK. Friday; Max 12°C but we could see 15°C in some favoured spots on Saturday.

Sunday sees early rain clearing to showers and even some bright spells later on. Turning fresher and cooler once the rain clears away. Max 11°C.

Next week sees the overall mild, wet, unsettled theme continue. No sign of significant cold or snow.

For all your weather updates local to Oldham, Rochdale, Tameside, Manchester and Lancashire follow @ChadWeather on Twitter.

See you next week for a Christmas and New Year update.

Thanks for reading,

Jon

 

Thursday 10th December 2015 – Sunday 13th December 2015

Hi all,

I’m crying out for some colder weather and even some snow. In fact just cold, frosty, foggy mornings would do but nothing on the horizon. My guess would be, don’t get your hopes up on proper cold until we get to mid-January. 

After early rain and some showers on Thursday we’re left with a day of bright spells. Feeling fresh and a chance of some showers later on. Max 9°C.

Mainly cloudy during Friday afternoon with a chance of showers. Some bright spells are possible during the morning, especially to the east. Cooler. Max 8°C.

It’s a little complicated during the weekend. 

After a cloudy morning rain spreads up from the southwest on Saturday and with us under slightly colder air there is a chance we could see some sleet or snow on the higher ground and the Pennines. It shouldn’t last too long as slightly milder air arrives slowly within the rain. Max 6°C.

It’s favouring staying cloudy with further rain on Sunday and cool. It shouldn’t be as windy as recently on both days, good news but unfortunately we are struggling for dry weather these days. Max 8°C.

Next week sees little in the way of change. Some rain or showers at times with drier slots in between. No sign of significant cold.

November 2015 Stats: Warmest 16.1°C; Coldest -1.7°C; Wettest 29mm; Windiest 53mph; Total Rainfall 231.8mm (record).

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for local weather updates.

Thanks

Jon

Thursday 3rd December 2015 – Sunday 6th December

Hi all,

Wet wet wet. The only way to describe the last week and the month of November which turned out to be the wettest month I’ve ever recorded with 231.8mm of rain falling. The previous record was 185.4mm in December 2012.

We are now in the meteorological winter and we start December mild with more rain on the way. 

Thursday will see rain across the region. Some heavy bursts, especially on the hills with a risk of localised flooding once again. It will clear later in the evening. Mild and breezy with cooler air following on overnight. Max 11°C.

Friday promises to be the best day we’ve had for a while. We are in between weather systems so bright spells and it should remain dry albeit windy. Cooler and winds increasing overnight with gale-force gusts. Max 9°C.

It all gets a bit complicated into the weekend. 

A band of heavy rain will move in on Saturday associated with some gusty winds. It will move from NW to SE and remain very windy throughout with 60mph gusts possible. A warning is already in place. Milder for a time. Max 10°C.

Still very windy early on Sunday but easing quickly. Still quite cloudy with some rain or showers at times. Possibly brighter & drier later. Mild temperatures for December. Max 12°C.

Next week looks cooler with temperatures dropping to more typical December values.

For updates on this weekend’s possible stormy weather follow @ChadWeather on Twitter. 

Thanks for reading. 

Jon