Thursday 22nd February 2018 – Sunday 25th February 2018

Hi all,

There’s been a lot of talk for a few days now, about colder weather on the way. I mentioned last week that winter wasn’t finished with us just yet and looking at the computer models parts of the UK could be in for some significant snow and bitterly cold temperatures as we enter next week. Deep cold will be dragged across Europe on an easterly wind, sometimes called The Beast From The East, into the UK from Siberia and the recent SSW (Sudden Stratospheric Warming) is to blame. This is still not 100% guaranteed though, after this morning’s updates from the computer models, but it is still favoured.

I’ve seen some models give us days of subzero temperatures, even during the daytime. I just feel we need another day or so to firm up details on how cold it will get and how much, if any, snow will fall. It does seem likely that from Friday our ‘feels like’ temperature will remain sub-zero for several days. Keep up-to-date by following my tweets on Twitter.

Thursday: Dry with variable amounts of cloud. Some patchy frost to start then a day of mostly cloudy skies and some bright spells coming and going. Max 6°C

Friday: Frosty early and more sunshine on offer and with it plenty of dry weather. You will start to feel the edge on that breeze as the colder air from Europe arrives. Max 5°C

Weekend: Dry and slowly even colder. A biting wind-chill.

Saturday: A frost to start then dry with sunny spells. A keen wind-chill as the easterly wind picks up, gusting to 25mph. Max 5°C

Sunday: Windy, with bright spells but more cloud compared to Saturday so feeling colder. The bitter wind-chill digging in, making it feel more like -7°C. Max 3°C

7 degrees below average

Into next week and we could be seeing temperatures 6-8°C below average (av. Max = 7°C)

Outlook: Even colder air will arrive from the east and with it the increasing chance of some snow flurries. Daytime temperatures will struggle to get above freezing and frosts will continue at night. As we approach midweek there is some uncertainty as to whether we keep the very cold easterlies or switch to slightly less cold northerlies. The risk of snow is likely to increase too. Some computer models predict the colder-than-average conditions to continue into the second week of March, but some have us back in milder southwesterlies by March the 6th. Just to note: One set-up has some heavy snow for us around the 3rd of March with night-time temperatures as low as -10°C. A long way off but just a hint of what might be possible with the forthcoming very cold airmass.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

advice

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 21st of February 2018 at 12:30pm
Images: http://wxcharts.eu

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Thursday 15th February 2018 – Sunday 18th February 2018

Hi,

Only a couple of weeks left of winter and recently we’ve felt its presence with some more snowfall and cold temperatures, but, change is on the way. However, don’t be thinking of putting away those thick coats just yet, as winter might not be done with, after the recent Sudden Stratospheric Warming event.

Thursday: A reasonable day with some bright spells and milder than recently. There will be the odd wintry shower and a fresh breeze. Max 7°C

Friday: Dry with sunny spells and feeling pleasant. Max 8°C

Weekend: Mostly dry with light winds as pressure builds.

Saturday and Sunday: Mostly cloudy with some bright spells. Feeling quite mild. Just the risk of some drizzle in any thicker cloud, especially on hilltops. Max 9-10°C

HP

High pressure in charge next week so a lot of overdue drier weather on the way

Outlook: High pressure in charge and at first the position of the high will lead to mild and settled conditions. As the week progresses the high could well slip north and introduce cold, then very cold, easterly winds. Initially the focus will be on it feeling bitter but with a lot of dry and overcast weather.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for your latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 13:45 on Wednesday 14th February 2018
Image: http://wxcharts.eu

Thursday 8th February 2018 – Sunday 11th February 2018

Hi all,

What a shame (some of you won’t agree) that we had the perfect subzero temperatures for snow on Tuesday but the band of snow that pushed in from the northwest was only light. Even after 6 hours of continous light snowfall it hardly settled and the amounts were minimal. Ah well. Next please……

Thursday: Cloudy with patchy rain slowly arriving during the late-afternoon and evening and becoming much milder for a time. Overnight a spell of more heavier rain as a cold front comes through. Max 7°C

Friday: We return to the colder air filtering down from the northwest. With it some wintry showers so expect hail, sleet, some snow and even thunder and lightning. There could be a prolonged spell of showers during mid-morning. It should turn drier during the afternoon. Max 5°C

Weekend: Unsettled and turning colder.

Wintry showers with snow on Sunday

Wintry showers on Sunday as we turn colder

Saturday: A cold start then becoming cloudy with rain arriving and becoming quite windy. The rain could start off as sleet or snow above 250M but it won’t last too long. Max 7°C

Sunday: Back to square one. Colder with wintry showers, again heavy and possibly thundery. The showers will give a covering of snow in places, especially above 200M. Feeling bitter with a cold northwesterly wind. Max 5°C

Outlook: Remaining cold and changeable. A risk of some windier spells and when they come along it will be briefly milder.

January 2018

Max 12.1°C (24th)
Min -0.7°C (20th)
Av. 4.4°C
Wettest 18mm
Windiest 52mph
Rain 133.2mm
Rainy Days 24
Dry Days 7
Air Frosts 2
Snow Falling Days 6
Snow Lying Days 4

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest weather updates.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of February 2018 at 11am.
Images: http://wxcharts.eu

Thursday 1st February 2018 – Sunday 4th February 2018

Hi all,

January is coming to a close and with just a month left of winter, who’s looking forward to Spring and those lighter mornings and evenings? I know I am, but I’m still hoping for some more snow before we get there.

Thursday: Cold with bright or sunny spells and windy. Just the chance of an isolated wintry shower during the morning mainly in western areas. Max 5°C

Friday: A cold and frosty start then a reasonable day with sunny spells and a chilly wind. Cloudier later in the day. Max 5°C

Weekend: Chance of snow

Rain arriving from the west on Saturday could turn to snow

Saturday: A very cold day. Cloudy with rain pushing in from the west. Snow is possible on higher ground (mostly >200M) but not exclusively. So, with a chance of snow to lower-levels, watch out for updates on Twitter. Later into the evening we return to a few wintry showers. Max 3°C

Sunday: A return to the brighter weather with a cold wind and sunny spells. The odd wintry shower possible in eastern areas. Max 5°C

Outlook: Remaining cold throughout with bright spells, slight frosts and some wintry showers. Tuesday/Wednesday could see a band of rain which could turn to snow in places. One to watch.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 31st of January 2018 at 7:15pm
Image: www.theweatheroutlook.com

Thursday 25th January 2018 – Sunday 28th January 2018

Hi all,

It’s back to the normal British winter. No snow or proper cold in the next 7 days.

Thursday: A few bright spells during the morning but some showers, perhaps heavy and thundery, will arrive into the afternoon and last into the evening. Max 8°C

Friday: A reasonable day. Light winds, some sunny spells and mostly places escaping with a dry day. A touch cooler. Max 7°C

Weekend: Milder with some rain.

Saturday: A dry start but cloud thickening with some outbreaks of rain and drizzle, especially on higher ground, arriving from the southwest. Turning milder. Max 10°C

Mild

Perhaps a 13°C in some spots on Sunday

Sunday: Cloudy and dull with some patchy light rain and drizzle. Some areas sheltered from the southwesterly wind will remain dry. Much milder with a fresh breeze. Max 12°C

Outlook: A trend towards slightly less mild conditions as we enter February. It looks like we will settle down a touch too, with high pressure close by. No sign of anything particularly cold or snowy but a chance of a few slight frosts.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 13:15 on Wednesday the 24th of January 2018
Image: http://wxcharts.eu/

Thursday 18th January 2018 – Sunday 21st January 2018

Hi all,

We are halfway through winter and we were reminded this week with snow returning to some parts as well as plenty of hail and some thundersnow. After last week’s dank slow-weather days we are back up and running with plenty to talk about. There is some more snow on the way.

Lightning 160118

Lightning Strikes: Tuesday saw thunder and lightning, giving some of us thundersnow

Thursday: The early hours and early morning will be very windy with 50-55mph gusts across the region as a low pressure moves through. The thinking was that this system would be named but it is now less intense and therefore hasn’t been christened. It will briefly become milder but during the morning winds will die down somewhat and it will become colder again. After all that we will see a day of sunshine and frequent thundery wintry showers which will fall as snow above 200M. Max 5°C

Snow showers on Friday

Wintry showers, including some snow, will be blown in again on Friday

Friday: A colder day and windy with more wintry showers feeding in. Again, these could be thundery with hail and snow. Snow showers expected almost anywhere but especially on higher ground where it is likely to settle. Max 3°C

Snow Depth cm by the end of Friday

Predicted snow depth (cm) by the end of Friday

Weekend: Saturday’s the day!

Saturday: A frosty start with snow-cover in places from yesterday’s showers. However a decent day ahead. Dry with sunny spells and cold. A perfect winter’s day. Max 4°C

Sunday: A cold start and perhaps briefly dry. Rain (timings still uncertain at this stage) will then move in from the west preceeded by snow in places, especially on the hills and Pennines, but all areas seeing it turn to rain as it becomes slowly milder later. A thaw of any remaining lying snow. Max 7°C

Outlook: Temperatures average for the time of year but with our weather favouring coming in from the Atlantic, we can expect some spells of rain at times. Chilly nights with some patchy frost.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for frequent weather updates.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued: 10:15am on Wednesday the 17th of January 2018
Images: https://www.lightningmaps.org and http://wxcharts.eu 

Thursday 11th January 2018 – Sunday 14th January 2018

Hi all,

The average maximum temperature for January is about 6°C. Currently we are below, standing at 3.9°C, but with little snow to show for it. I am pinning my hopes on some snow showers next week and a colder end to January but this is just a [hopeful] ‘thought’ and not a certainty.

Thursday: A foggy start, which could cause travel disruption on roads and at the airports, and some patchy frost too. It will be a cold day with some bright spells developing. Fog could linger in places and where it does it will not get much above freezing. Max 4°C

Friday: Little change with a murky start. A dry day to follow with some bright spells
where the low-cloud lifts but general mostly cloudy. Breezy later. Max 5°C

Weekend: Could be better

Saturday: Cloud thickening from the west with some patchy rain arriving slowly. A dull day all round. Max 6°C

Sunday: Any rain easing away and we will see some bright spells developing, but again more cloudy than bright, so a disappointing weekend overall. A more active weather front looks set to sweep rain across the region later on Sunday evening and overnight leading to a more active pattern. Max 5°C

Outlook: After the rain on Sunday we could well see a set-up of cold north-westerly winds with frequent wintry showers, so some snow possible next week, especially so on higher ground and a cold wind for all.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for frequent updates.

December 2017 Stats

Max 11.1°C (7th)
Min -5.2°C (12th)
Av. 4.2°C (below average)
Wettest 13.6mm
Windiest 38mph
Rain 85.4mm (below average)
Rainy Days 28 (grim!)
Dry Days 3
Air Frosts 11
Snow Falling Days 9
Snow Lying Days 4

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 1:30pm on Wednesday the 10th of January 2018

Thursday 4th January 2018 – Sunday 7th January 2018

Hi all,

Happy New Year and all the best for 2018!

I hinted that we would end 2017 with a named-storm and in rolled Storm Dylan to be followed by Storm Eleanor yesterday. The Jet Stream has been in charge of our weather in recent days but it will split this weekend and high pressure will build. A northeasterly flow will develop and we will enter a much colder but drier spell of weather.

Thursday: Cloudy with rain for the morning turning showery into the afternoon as the rain band pushes slowly north. We are still in the mild air so temperatures just above average. Max 8°C

Friday: Cloudy with some showers. There will be a little bit of brightness too and as the day progresses, it will get colder. Max 4°C

Weekend: Dry and colder with a biting wind-chill.

Saturday: Cold and mostly dry with some bright spells and the chance of a wintry shower blown in on a freezing northeasterly wind. Widespread frost overnight. Max 4°C

Sunday: Dry with sunny spells after a frosty start. Less breezy, so a pleasant day to get out and about if you’re wrapped up well. Frost returning at night and if winds fall light enough perhaps some fog. Max 4°C

Outlook: High pressure will face a battle with fronts trying to push in from the Atlantic. It will remain cold with plenty of dry weather. Cloud will increase from the west with a risk of rain, preceded by snow, possibly pushing the high pressure away by midweek. If this happens it would turn milder but there’s a reasonable chance that we get ‘locked in’ to the cold for while. Look out for updates on Twitter.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for your weather forecasts.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued at 3:45pm on Wednesday January 3rd 2018

Thursday 28th December 2017 – Sunday 31st December 2017

Hi all,

I hope you all had a great Christmas and have managed to return to feeling less stuffed. So it wasn’t a White Christmas here but we did see some snow on the higher routes on Boxing Day morning. As you’ve probably seen, we missed out on another snow event last night as a band of heavy rain mixed with the cold air further south and brought chaos to some of the motorway and road networks. When will it be our turn?

Thursday: A cold and frosty start for most but there is a chance that we could see a few sleet or snow showers earlier in the morning which might give a dusting in places. A nice day will follow with plenty of winter sunshine. A slight breeze making it feel bitter. Max 3°C

Friday: Change on the way. Cloud and light rain, perhaps preceded by snow for a few hours, will move in quickly from the west. The snow may settle briefly especially on the hills and Pennines. After a drier slot further rain will arrive later and with it milder air. Max 6°C

Weekend: Milder and windy.

Saturday: Windy with some showers and drier spells in between. Mostly cloudy and notably milder. Max 10°C

New Year’s Eve: Staying windy with gusts to 40mph and after a spell of rain showers will follow. Remaining mild but feeling colder with the wind. Be prepared for some rain into the evening and around midnight but don’t let it dampen your celebrations. Max 9°C

Outlook: Staying lively as the Jet Stream gathers pace, with rain and windy spells at times. Mostly mild but colder spells in between low pressure systems.

Finally, thanks for all your tweets and support this year. I wish you all the very best for 2018, have a good one!

Thanks,

Jon

Follow on Twitter at @ChadWeather.

Hourly weather data at @OldhamWxStats.

Weather data every minute at https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IOLDHAMC2.

Forecast Issued at 12:25pm on Wednesday the 27th of December 2017.

Thursday 21st December 2017 – Monday 25th December 2017

Hi all,

So far December has been a month of variations and, as of the 19th, we are colder and drier than average. With the recent snow and bitterly cold temperatures some of us might be hoping for a White Christmas. It’s not going to happen this year folks.

Thursday: Cloudy with spells of light rain or drizzle with hill-fog for most of the day. Another drab day but most of the rain should ease away into the afternoon. Mild. Max 10°C

Friday: Mostly cloudy, patches of mist/fog and remaining mild. There is a chance of some brightness (forgotten what that is!) developing, especially in eastern parts, during the day. Max 10°C

Saturday: Perhaps, don’t hold your breath, a bright start but cloud increasing and the breeze picking it. Some rain likely later in the day. The wind remains from the southwest so above average temperatures again. Max 10°C

Christmas Eve: Windy with cloudy skies. Rain likely as the day progresses and it will be heavy on western-facing hills and in the northwest. Very mild. Max 11°C

Christmas Day: A day of change albeit slowly. A damp day, bah humbug!, with some rain moving south. It will remain mostly cloudy and mild but a little cooler than lately. Later into the evening and overnight colder air will arrive from the northwest. To warrant a White Christmas we need a single snowflake falling before midnight and this is highly unlikely. Max 9°C

Outlook: Colder at times but with spells of rain and possible gales coming in from the west. Don’t rule out another named-storm before we see out 2017.

Finally, I wish you all a very Merry Christmas and all the best for 2018!

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 11:15am on Wednesday 20th of December 2017