Thursday 19th April 2018 – Sunday 22nd April 2018

Hi,

As promised in last week’s blog, sunnier and warmer weather is coming, bringing us our first taste of summer. I also mentioned that it was set to break over the weekend and this is still the case. This is the time where gardens grow so fast you’ll have to give in and finally cut the lawn and perhaps you sneak in the first BBQ of the season.

Thursday: Breezy but a lovely day with sunny spells and very warm. Warmest day of the year so far. Dry. Max 22°C

Thursday will be the warmest day of the year so far

Friday: A misty start in places but another nice day with sunny spells. We lose the warm southeasterly wind direction for today and switch westerly meaning it will be a cooler. Max 17°C

Weekend: Saturday’s best.

Saturday: Little change during the day. Sunny spells, very warm and pleasant. Cloud will bubble up though and there is a chance of showers breaking out into the evening as high pressure slips away. Max 19°C

Showers possible later on Saturday becoming more widespread and perhaps thundery on Sunday

Sunday: The breakdown arrives with heavy, perhaps thundery showers spreading in from the west. Cooler. Max 16°C

Throughout the period UV levels will be between 4-5 and the sun is as strong as late-August. So don’t forget your sun-cream if you’re out in it for a long period of time.

Outlook: All change as our weather starts to come in from the Atlantic again. So, cooler, cloudier and eventually wet with rain at times. Temperatures back into the teens. So make sure you enjoy this warm spell.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 18th of April 2018 at 2:10pm.
Images: https://www.netweather.tv

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Thursday 12th April 2018 – Sunday 15th April 2018

Hi all,

Finally some warmer weather on the horizon. This time next week I might have dug the shorts out and be planning a BBQ. Of course this is all down to the forecast panning out as planned over the next 6-8 days. We deserve something settled, sunny and warm so fingers crossed.

Thursday: A mostly cloudy day with a cool easterly breeze still affecting the region. This might drag in some drizzle or light rain at times, especially during the morning. Cold. Max 9°C

Friday: Little change. Hopefully less in the way of drizzle and some brightness breaking through here and there as we enter the afternoon. A touch less cold. Max 12°C

Weekend: Mostly dry, slowly warmer.

Saturday: Dry but mostly cloudy,  thickest the further west you are. Just a chance of some isolated patchy drizzle for the morning. Milder. Max 14°C

Sunday: Bright spells and again most areas dry. Southerly winds helping to lift the temperature and we should see some warm sunny spells late in the day. Max 16°C

Temps Wed

Temperatures up to 20°C by Wednesday next week

Outlook: High pressure building and dragging warmer air up from the south/southeast. Cloudier and breezier in western areas otherwise sunny spells and warming up nicely. I’m not promising wall-to-wall sunshine but more so sunny intervals. UV levels in the sunshine up to 4/5, so time to work on your tan and sun-cream routine. We could well sneak a 20°C by midweek and see our warmest weather since August 2017, if we beat 20.2°C. How long will it last? This warm spell looks set to break over the weekend.

Forecast issued at 9:45am on Wednesday the 11th of April 2018.
Images: http://wxcharts.eu

Thanks,
Jon

Thursday 5th April 2018 – Sunday 8th April 2018

Hi all,

Winter has had a final few bites at us over the past few weeks, with some snowfalls and the bitter wind from the ‘Beast from the East 2’. We even managed snow on Easter Sunday, but don’t be surprised. Snow at Easter is more likely than snow at Christmas. March overall was a colder-than-average month but much drier than normal. It did actually rain on 23 days of the 31, but amounts were small. Is that the last of the snow? Yes, I think so.

UV Levels 04-04-2018

UV levels up to 3 and 4 on Thursday. Time to soak up the sun’s rays.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Thursday:
A cold and frosty start for some, but a lovely day ahead with pleasant sunny spells. Dare I say it, UV levels are now up to 3-4 which means you will catch the sun if you’re out in it for a few hours and we’ll soon we talking about sun-cream again! Max 11°C

Friday: A dry morning with sunny spells. Cloud increasing into the afternoon with rain arriving after dark. Milder as winds increase and drag up air from the southwest. Max 13°C

Saturday: Cloudy with some rain but this should ease away during the day with some bright spells developing later on. A few evening showers are possible. Max 12°C

Sunday: A mostly overcast day but some sunny spells developing later and it should be mostly dry. Any decent sunny spells will lift the temperatures quickly. Max 13°C

Outlook: A cloudy set-up and quite cool. Perhaps signs of something a little warmer past mid-month. Sooner or later a decent Spring spell will arrive.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

March 2018 Stats

Max 13.7°C (10th)
Min -5.9°C (1st)
Av. 4.4°C (colder than average)
Wettest 8.2mm
Windiest 47mph
Rain 51.8mm (57% of average)
Rainy Days 23
Dry Days 8
Air Frosts 8 (more than average)
Snow Falling Days 4
Snow Lying Days 6

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 5pm on Wednesday the 4th of April 2018.
Image: http://weatheronline.co.uk

 

Thursday 29th March 2018 – Bank Holiday Monday 2nd April 2018

Hi,

More media speculation this week. After getting lucky, even a broken clock is right twice a day :), with predicting ‘The Beasts’ more than a week out, this time they are wrong. No ‘Beast from the East 3’.

Thursday: Cold with some frost and mist to start the day. Sunny spells for the morning but heavy, possibly thundery, showers will arrive from the south late-afternoon and into the evening. Some of these wintry over high ground. Max 10°C

Good Friday: Mostly cloudy with some brightness. Showery rain which again could be heavy and wintry on the hills arriving later into the evening. Feeling cool. Max 8°C

The Extended Weekend: Sunday probably the best.

Saturday: Early rain moves away and eases quickly during the morning. Bright spells will develop but also some showers which will fade away later. Max 8°C

Easter Sunday: It should be mostly dry with bright spells after a misty start. Like other days it will still be quite cool with temperatures below average. Max 8°C

Bank Holiday Monday: Sunny spells for the morning but cloud thickening with rain arriving from the southwest during the day which could give some snow on the hills. Eventually milder. Max 8°C

Outlook: Remaining unsettled with temperatures on the chilly side. Some rain at times, which could have a wintry mix over the Pennines. So, disappointing news if you’re on the lookout for some Spring warmth. I know I am.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: 4:15pm on Wednesday the 28th of March 2018

Thursday 22nd March 2018 – Sunday 25th March 2018

Hi all,

Last week we discussed the ‘Beast from the East 2’, the sequel etc. and it certainly delivered. To be honest the amount of snow it brought even surprised me. The wind was also a feature bringing a severe wind-chill and snow drifts up to 4 feet high. It was only a short-lived affair, basically freezing us for the weekend and it wasn’t as intense as the previous Beast, but it was certainly impressive for the second half of March. Of course the media have jumped on this opportuinity to say number 3 is coming and we will see snow at Easter, but what is the realistic outlook?

‘Beast from the East 2’ Stats

  • The temperature dropped 6°C in 90 mins as colder conditions arrived on Friday
  • Snow fell most of Saturday afternoon and overnight
  • Widely 8cm of snow-cover
  • Snow drifts up to 4ft
  • Many road closures
  • Lowest wind-chill of -10°C
  • Lowest feels-like temperature of -11°C
  • Sunday didn’t see the temperature rise above freezing
  • Wind gusts of 50mph locally and especially on the hills felling some trees
Temp drop Beast 2

A rapid temperature drop as the ‘Beast from the East 2’ arrived last Friday

Thursday: Sunny spells and southwesterly winds freshening. It should remain dry until later in the evening and overnight when rain will arrive. Max 9°C

Friday: Early rain, some heavy clearing during the morning. Bright spells into the afternoon with a few showers, possibly thundery. Cool and breezy. Max 10°C

Weekend: Not bad at all, no dramas like last weekend.

Saturday: Apart from the odd shower it looks a reasonable day with sunny spells. Max 9°C

Sunday: A misty start, soon lifting to sunny spells and the odd rogue shower. With light winds it will feel pleasant in any sunshine. Max 10°C

Cold NE

Colder with a chance of snow showers by the time we get to Good Friday

Outlook: Remaining mild with temperatures close to double-figures. Some rain at times, especially into Tuesday, but brighter spells too. As we approach Easter the computer models are showing signs of a cold wind developing again. This looks to be from the northwest or north, but some signs are there for a northeasterly. This will bring lower temperatures and with it the risk of some wintry showers and snow. This looks to last 2-3 days, and yes you’ve guessed it, starting on Good Friday. So, at this current stage, no Beast from the East 3 exactly, but definitely not the Easter forecast you wanted to hear.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 10:30am on Wednesday the 21st of March 2018
Image: wxcharts.eu

 

Thursday 15th March 2018 – Sunday 18th March 2018

Hi all,

Beast from the East 2. The sequel. Snow until Easter. I’ve heard it all this week. There’s some truth in those headlines and with it a disappointing outlook as Spring seems to be on hold.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy and windy across the region but with it some mild temperatures. Rain will be coming up from the south but will turn patchy at times and eventually fizzle out with hopefully some late-afternoon brightness. Max 9°C

Friday: Another cloudy and windy day with some showery rain at times, mainly in eastern areas. Feeling a little cooler too, especially later with a chance that some of the rain could turn to sleet or snow on the hills as colder air arrives. Max 7°C

Weekend: Bitterly cold, windy.

Saturday: A strong easterly wind feeding in much colder conditions. Gusts to 40mph likely. A similar pattern to when we had the Beast From the East but not as cold/snowy and it will not last as long. During the day some light snow showers could develop, but at this stage no significant snow is expected. Temperatures struggling above freezing with a severe wind-chill for the time of year making it feel like -5°CMax 2°C

Sunday: Remaining very cold with those biting winds from the east. Any snow flurries or showers tending to fade as the supply from the east gets cut off as high pressure builds. Max 3°C

Outlook: After a very cold 2-day spell over the weekend, it will become less cold but the search for anything Spring-like continues, with temperatures expected to remain below average throughout the next 5 days.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest weather forecasts.

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 14th of March 2018 at 1:45pm.

Thanks,
Jon

Thursday 8th March 2018 – Sunday 11th March 2018

Hi all,

Well what a week that was. The ‘Beast From the East‘ certainly delivered. The official snow depth here was 12cm on the 1st of March and we had many days of snowfall, severe wind-chill, travel disruption and then very strong winds gusting locally to 55mph. Of course, weather-wise, we’re now into Spring and we say goodbye to Winter 2017-18, which turned out the ‘snowiest’ I’ve ever recorded since my records began in late-2012.

Extremes Recorded during the Beast From the East – all new records

Lowest Temp= -6.1°C (28th Feb)
Lowest Wind-chill= -12.0°C (1st Mar)
Lowest Apparent Temp= -12.1°C (1st Mar)
Lowest ‘Feels Like’ Temp = -13.3°C (1st Mar)
Lowest Daytime Max Temp= -2.4°C (28th Feb)

But the Lowest Dew Point record of -12.7°C, from the 25th of March 2017, remained intact.

Here’s how previous winters have compared.

Winter Stats

Comparing the last 6 winters

 

So can we expect something warmer and Spring-like soon?

Thursday: A cloudy damp start with some rain, sleet and hill-snow. Some settling snow is possible above 250M (2+cm), and especially so over the Pennines (5+cm), so check the roads if you’re travelling trans-Pennine routes. At the time of this blog there is a warning in place. This should all clear mid-morning with bright spells and showers following. Some of the showers heavy, perhaps wintry with hail and thunder. Max 6°C

Friday: We will start with a slight frost and some ice in places. Not a bad day in store with sunny spells and dry. Feeling pleasant in the sunshine. Cloudier later with rain overnight. Max 7°C

Weekend: Wet then drier; Sunday the better day

Saturday: A keen southeasterly wind. Rain, some heavy,  lasting most of the day. Just a few drier slots at times. Early on, there is a slight chance of some snow on the Pennines for a few hours but this is a low risk as it will get progressively milder. Max 9°C

Sunday: Yesterday’s rain clears quickly to leave a drier day with variable cloud allowing for some sunny spells here and there. Mild and it will be the first time we have reached double-figure temperatures since the end of January. Max 11°C

Outlook: Slighly cooler after Sunday with some showers at times which could be wintry. Milder later in the week with southwesterly winds dominating.

February 2018 Stats

Max 9.7°C (19th)
Min -6.1°C (28th)
Av. 2.5°C (colder than average)
Wettest 11.8mm
Windiest 44mph
Rain 60.8mm (drier than average)
Rainy Days 16
Dry Days 12
Air Frosts 14 (more than average)
Snow Falling Days 10
Snow Lying Days 6

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the very latest weather updates.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 7th of March 2018 at 5pm.

Thursday 1st March 2018 – Sunday 4th March 2018

Hi all,

Thursday sees a change of season in the Weather World. Spring has sprung! Well not quite! Although our winter ends today [Wednesday], the weather has gone back in time, as the much-promised Beast From the East arrived bringing snow, tumbling temperatures and a severe wind-chill this week. So when will it all end? In fact, when will we get above freezing again?

Thursday: Like yesterday, one of the coldest days for years. An extreme wind-chill making it feel like -12°C. A mostly cloudy day, there could be some brightness from time-to-time, but equally some more snow showers. These should ease later. Winds strong, gusting to 40mph. Max -2°C

Friday: Bright spells and a few snow flurries. Then later in the day, the forecast is not set in stone, but there is a risk of some snow coming up from the south-west, accompanied by a strong south-easterly wind making it feel like -10°C and gusting to 45mph. As I say, the track of the low pressure, which has been named Storm Emma by the Portuguese Weather Centre, is uncertain, so the snow event might not happen and this is confirmed by the GIF below. The snow tries its best to arrive across the region towards the evening, but fizzles out. The forecast could change so watch out for tweets. Max 0°C

Snow on Friday

Heavy snow will cause disruption in southwestern parts of the UK but will it make it here

Weekend: Still very cold but less so into Sunday. Some snow.

Saturday: Still Baltic but not as windy as Friday. Cloudy with some snow flurries then perhaps a spell of snow for a few hours. Max 1°C

Sunday: Less cold air will push across the region which will recover the temperatures a little and after days of sub-zero values, we will sneak above 0°C. Again, mostly cloudy with a cold wind and the potential is there for some snow showers. Still very cold. Max 3°C

Outlook: Remaining colder-than-average with some wintry showers, so the risk of some snow remains. No sign of our first taste of spring. Don’t thank me, thank Sudden Stratospheric Warming. 

A huge thank you for all your photos, road updates and interactions this week.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 17:10 on Wednesday the 28th of February 2018
Image: wxcharts.eu

Bitter Cold and Snow Update

Hi all,

Just a ‘quick’ blog to keep you updated on the up-and-coming coldest weather for years.

The Met Office have issued a Level 3 Cold Weather Alert for this week. This is one short of a National Emergency. This highlights the severity of this week’s cold.

Cold Weather Alert

For the past few days we have been dragging in cold air from the east (as mentioned in last week’s blog) but during this week, even colder air (aka The Beast From The East) will filter westwards all the way from Siberia, with some extreme wind-chill values for the UK. As this air comes across the relatively warmer North Sea, it will develop snow showers which will be heavy and possibly thundery. The strength of the wind will move them well inland.

The bitter weather is set to last all week with some uncertainty from Friday. During Thursday night into Friday it looks like a low pressure will come up from the south. This is going to bring widespread snow and blizzards to southern parts of England and Wales. It’s too early to say how far north this will come but there is a chance we will see some snowfall from it. After that milder air will try to arrive from the south-west but it might not succeed, or, if it does, it’ll take several days for temperatures to recover. One thing that seems certain this week is that there will be some significant and disruptive snowfall for parts of the UK.

Snow: I’m expecting all of us to see snow at some point over the week. There won’t be any rain falling, anything that falls will be snow, even to sea-level as it will be so cold. The snow showers could easily bring 3-5cm for most of us, with the chance of 10-15cm over the Pennines and surrounding hills as they take a direct hit from the showers firing in on a, at times, gale-force gusting easterly wind. Warnings are in place and more could follow.

Snow Tuesday morning

Snow showers will start to feed in from the NE in the early hours of Tuesday morning

Temperatures: Daytime highs will struggle above freezing and are expected to remain below freezing on Wednesday and Thursday at least. There will be hard penetrating frosts all week with lows down to -7°C, and -10°C in rural spots, especially over snow-cover.

Weds Maximums

Wednesday’s maximums – add on the wind and it will be Baltic

Wind-chill: All week the wind-chill will be sub-zero and midweek it is likely to start to feel like -12°C or lower.

 

Severe Windchill Thursday AM

Severe wind-chill this week – values as low as -12°C to -14°C in places by Thursday

Sunday: Sunny spells but feeling cold in the wind. Remaining dry. Max 4°C

Monday: The much colder air has arrived and with it more cloud than recent days. Sunny spells, a biting wind and perhaps some snow flurries later in the day. Max 2°C

Tuesday: During the early hours and into the morning there is a risk of some prolonged snow arriving from the NE, especially so in eastern parts. After this clears it’s a day of bright spells and scattered snow showers. Feeling very cold with a -7°C wind-chill. Max 1°C

Wednesday: A bitterly cold day with frequent snow showers from the east filtering well inland. Heaviest of the showers in eastern areas. Some of the showers could be thundery and there will be drifting of any lying snow as winds gust 30mph. Max 0°C

Thursday: Mostly cloudy, some light snow showers but there should be less than yesterday. Severe wind-chill (-12°C) and the coldest day for years. Max -1°C

Snow Event Friday

A significant snow event looks possible next Friday which will cause disruption

Friday: Much uncertainty but likely to be cloudy, freezing cold with light snow arriving from the south. It will also be very windy with 40mph gusts. Again wind-chill values down to -10°C or lower. Further updates during the week. Max 0°C

Just to note: Snowfall is difficult to predict when it arrives in the form of showers. Some areas will see a lot more snow than others as showers produce localised amounts.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter to keep up-to-date with the severe weather this week.

Thanks
Jon

Images: www.theweatheroutlook.comhttp://www.meteociel.fr/http://wxcharts.eu, Met Office.

Thursday 22nd February 2018 – Sunday 25th February 2018

Hi all,

There’s been a lot of talk for a few days now, about colder weather on the way. I mentioned last week that winter wasn’t finished with us just yet and looking at the computer models parts of the UK could be in for some significant snow and bitterly cold temperatures as we enter next week. Deep cold will be dragged across Europe on an easterly wind, sometimes called The Beast From The East, into the UK from Siberia and the recent SSW (Sudden Stratospheric Warming) is to blame. This is still not 100% guaranteed though, after this morning’s updates from the computer models, but it is still favoured.

I’ve seen some models give us days of subzero temperatures, even during the daytime. I just feel we need another day or so to firm up details on how cold it will get and how much, if any, snow will fall. It does seem likely that from Friday our ‘feels like’ temperature will remain sub-zero for several days. Keep up-to-date by following my tweets on Twitter.

Thursday: Dry with variable amounts of cloud. Some patchy frost to start then a day of mostly cloudy skies and some bright spells coming and going. Max 6°C

Friday: Frosty early and more sunshine on offer and with it plenty of dry weather. You will start to feel the edge on that breeze as the colder air from Europe arrives. Max 5°C

Weekend: Dry and slowly even colder. A biting wind-chill.

Saturday: A frost to start then dry with sunny spells. A keen wind-chill as the easterly wind picks up, gusting to 25mph. Max 5°C

Sunday: Windy, with bright spells but more cloud compared to Saturday so feeling colder. The bitter wind-chill digging in, making it feel more like -7°C. Max 3°C

7 degrees below average

Into next week and we could be seeing temperatures 6-8°C below average (av. Max = 7°C)

Outlook: Even colder air will arrive from the east and with it the increasing chance of some snow flurries. Daytime temperatures will struggle to get above freezing and frosts will continue at night. As we approach midweek there is some uncertainty as to whether we keep the very cold easterlies or switch to slightly less cold northerlies. The risk of snow is likely to increase too. Some computer models predict the colder-than-average conditions to continue into the second week of March, but some have us back in milder southwesterlies by March the 6th. Just to note: One set-up has some heavy snow for us around the 3rd of March with night-time temperatures as low as -10°C. A long way off but just a hint of what might be possible with the forthcoming very cold airmass.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

advice

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued: Wednesday the 21st of February 2018 at 12:30pm
Images: http://wxcharts.eu