Thursday 19th July 2018 – Sunday 22nd July 2018

Hi all,

We have slipped out of the heatwave but still enjoying some warm to very warm temperatures. Although we’ve had some welcome rain, the weather has been kind with mostly dry conditions and sunny spells.

We have a hosepipe ban on the horizon and it doesn’t surprise me with the heatwave, lack of rain and wildfires. In fact, looking at the statistics, out of the last 11 completed months, 8 of them have delivered below average rainfall. The months that did deliver above average rainfall, didn’t exactly over do it either. A green arrow indicates rainfall above average. Normally green wouldn’t be the right colour to use but for this it is. Most of the recent months in 2018 have been exceptionally dry.

rainfall stats

Actual rainfall amounts vs. average amounts since August 2017

 

Thursday: A lovely day. Very warm with sunny spells and mainly dry for all. Max 24°C

Friday: A bright start but soon cloudy with patchy rain moving southeast across the region into the afternoon with perhaps some heavier bursts. It should turn drier during the evening after a few showers. Max 20°C

Weekend: Very warm, humid and bright.

Saturday: Quite cloudy at first but bright spells will break through. Feeling warm. Just a low chance of a shower. Max 22°C

Sunday: Bright or sunny spells and dry. Warmer. Max 24°C

Outlook: Hot early next week with temperatures in the mid-20s or just above. During the week there is a risk of a few showers breaking out but not a lot of rain on the way. Small chance of us picking up a southerly airflow bringing hotter conditions, one to watch.

Don’t forget sun-cream!

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Forecast Issued: Wednesday, July the 18th at 2:15pm.

Thanks,
Jon

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Thursday 12th July 2018 – Sunday 15th July 2018

Hi all,

In general, the heatwave has continued across the UK over the last week, albeit with some less hot temperatures at times. We have also seen some more in the way of cloud but none of the much-needed rain. The last significant rain, 5.2mm, was on Saturday the 16th of June. We did have a few days after that with some early-morning drizzle and in fact the last day of measurable rainfall was on the 21st of June. Today marks the 20th day (assuming we don’t sneak an evening shower) without rain, beating the previous 19-day record set back in March 2013. But, could we finally see some rain later this week?

Thursday: Very warm with sunny spells. Becoming a bit more humid than recently and as the air turns a little more unstable, cloud will bubble up and there is a good chance of a beefy shower or two. Max 24°C

Friday: Humid with an increased risk of hefty showers or thunderstorms developing, catch one and it will be a very welcome torrential downpour. Sunny spells and feeling hot again. Max 25°C

Weekend: Hot and humid.

Saturday: Hot with sunny spells. Still the chance of an isolated downpour or thunderstorm but the risk will be significantly lower than yesterday. Breezy later. Max 26°C

Sunday: A band of cloud will push down from the northwest in the early hours. There could be some rain on it but it will be patchy in nature. This will soon fizzle out to bring sunny spells and hot and humid conditions. Max 27°C

Outlook: Ex-Hurricane Chris mixed in with the Jet Stream could mean we see a return to westerly winds and some showery rain, but this is very uncertain. There is a good chance it will bring this change to Scotland and Northern Ireland but we continue to be warm to very warm with conditions remaining mostly dry. Not good news as everywhere is parched. So in summary, next week seems to be bright or sunny spells with a few showers here and there and staying warm with temperatures in the 20s. Something to note is; there is a small chance that Chris darts south and in turn we import some very hot air from Spain, a Spanish Plume perhaps, so watch out for updates.

Don’t forget sun-cream!

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Forecast Issued: Wednesday, July the 11th at 2:15pm.

Thanks,
Jon

Thursday 5th July 2018 – Sunday 8th July 2018

Hi all,

I hope you’re making the most of the ‘unusual’ Summer weather that we are having. Normally we manage a decent week in May, then September, but we are experiencing a heatwave that’s set to continue. That said, we are now needing rain more than ever. Something I never thought I would say and I can’t see any on the horizon.

In May we only had 56% of the average rainfall. In June only 19%. The lack of rain combined with the heat and low humidity contributed towards the Saddleworth Moor and Winter Hill wildfires.

Thursday: Perhaps cloudy to start in some areas but this will thin to bring another very warm day with sunny spells. Max 24°C

Friday: Sunny spells and very warm. Lighter winds as a new area of high pressure builds across the UK. Max 23°C

Weekend: Becoming hotter.

Saturday temps

Weekend temperatures back up close to 30°C

Saturday: Hot with plenty of sunshine. Warm and muggy overnight. Max 28°C

Sunday: More summer sunshine and hot. Light winds throughout the weekend will not offer any relief and somewhere might see 30°C. Max 29°C

Thursday temp 12th

Remaining hot next week: Thursday could see temps close to 35°C in parts of the UK

Outlook: No change looking at Monday (9th) to Thursday (12th), hot with plenty of sunshine and temperatures could exceed 30°C as well as it feeling huimd. No rain expected during this period. Perhaps a little less hot by Friday.

Friday 13th

But do we finally see some cooler air arriving during Friday (13th) – one to watch

UV levels HIGH at 7-8 during the whole of the forecast period so don’t forget sun-cream.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for updates.

June 2018 Stats

Max 28.1°C (26th)
Min 7.8°C (24th)
Av. 15.7°C
Wettest 5.2mm (16th)
Windiest 43mph
Rain 14.8mm
Rainy Days 10
Dry Days 20

Av. Max Temp should be 17.8°C we achieved 20.2°C.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued on Wednesday the 4th of July at 10:30am
Images: https://www.netweather.tv

Thursday 28th of June 2018 – Sunday 1st of July 2018

Hi all,

We are in the middle of a heatwave and bone dry conditions which contributed to the horrific Saddleworth Moor wildfire this week.

Saddleworth fire

Source: Dundee University – the wildfire showed up on satellite images

So sad to see so much countryside go up in smoke and it’s horrible to think about the devastation done to the wildlife.

Any rain would be welcome news to help the brave firefighters with their endless job in all this heat, but there’s nothing due this week.

We have struggled for rain over the last 2 months and with no rain expected in June we can confirm the monthly stats.

In May we only received 56% of the average monthly rainfall. In June only 19%. We need rain.

Throughout the forecast the UV levels are HIGH at 8, so remember sun-cream or you will burn very easily.

Thursday: Hot and sunny. Again, if you’re experiencing smoke from the wildfire then it will be hazy at times. Max 28°C

Friday: No change. Hot with widespread sunshine. With an easterly breeze bringing some relief from the heat. Max 27°C

Weekend: The heatwave continues. More BBQs and beer gardens to be had.

Saturday: Perhaps a little less hot with a keen easterly breeze. Plenty of sunshine. Max 25°C

Sunday: I sound like a broken record. Hot and sunny. Max 27°C

Outlook: The start of the working week will remain hot and sunny. It will start to become more humid which will make it feel muggy and uncomfortable to sleep at night. There were signs a few days ago that rain would arrive in the early hours of Monday morning but this now seems to stay away to our southwest. At the moment low pressure does look to move up from the south midweek and with it the chance of rain via hefty showers or thunderstorms. Temperatures will drop to the early 20s but with it the humid air will remain. Later in the week, towards next weekend, sees westerly winds return so turning fresher.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 27th of June at 4:15pm.
Image: Dundee University

 

Thursday 21st June 2018 – Sunday 24th June 2018

Hi all,

We have some very warm, even hot weather on the way, which could well go down as a heatwave (the av. max. temperature for late-June is 19.5°C). Good news if you like it hot. Bad news for gardeners and growers though, as there is very little, if any, rain in the forecast for the next 10-14 days. Expect to see temperatures around 30°C for some places in the UK next week.

Thursday: A chilly start and much fresher with a cool northwesterly airflow. Dry with sunny spells and breezy. Max 17°C

Friday: High pressure builds from the west. Sunny spells with fair-weather cloud bubbling up during the day. Dry. Max 19°C

Weekend: Sunday sees the start of the temperature rise.

Saturday: Sunny to start but cloud will develop duiring the day. Dry with sunny spells and light winds. Max 18°C

Sunday: Much warmer with pleasant sunny spells. Dry. Max 23°C

Heatwave 31

Predicted Maximum Temperatures for midweek next week –  30°C possible

Outlook: High pressure in charge and temperatures rising. We look likely to develop a southeasterly flow which will drag in hot air from the continent. We could be seeing values of 25-28°C quite widely. This is expected to continue throughout the week with no sign of any significant rain. As well as some hot sunshine during this period we will see some variable cloud at times. At this stage it looks like the weather will become cooler from around the 2nd of July.

Remember at this time of year the sun is very strong, UV levels are HIGH at 7 or higher, so apply sun-cream if you’re planning to be out in it for a while, otherwise you will burn regardless of what the temperature is.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 20th of June at 10am.
Image: https://www.netweather.tv/

Thursday 14th June 2018 – Sunday 17th June 2018

Hi all,

I’m back, after a wonderful week in Kos with days of hot sunshine, temperatures into the 30s and even a storm one evening to top it all off. I was hoping the weather in the UK would have been awful while I was away but it’s continued to be reasonable. Now I’m back so is the Jet Stream and a change in our weather pattern.

The lack of rain is certainly starting to have an effect on the local reservoirs and gardens. Some welcome rain ahead but long-term for the rest of June I’m thinking not enough. Some media report a 3-month heatwave. They’ve clearly had too much vodka or sun, or perhaps both :).

Jetstream

The Jet Stream is back

Thursday: A change to something we haven’t seen for a while. The Jet Stream will bring in an active area of low pressure, a little unseasonal for the time of year. Any morning rain will clear quickly leaving bright spells and a few scattered showers. It will also be very windy, especially during the morning with a warning in place for gusts to 55mph. Apart from the wind not a bad day at all just feeling cooler. Max 17°C

Friday: A quieter day with mostly cloudy skies, some bright spells and the odd shower here and there. Max 17°C

Weekend: Sunday looks the best.

Saturday: Another weather front will come in from the west with a band of rain then hefty showers, some of which could be thundery later. Breezy for a time. Max 16°C

Sunday: Drier with pleasant sunny spells developing. Most places a little warmer and drier but we can’t rule out a scattered shower. Max 18°C

Outlook: Patchy rain and cloud on Monday, after that high pressure will start to build again from the southwest, nudging the Jet Stream further north again, so becoming settled with warm, sunny intervals.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued: Wednesday the 13th of June at 6pm.
Image: https://www.netweather.tv/

 

Thursday 7th June 2018 – Sunday 10th June 2018

Hi all,

A quick blog this week as I am on holiday.

Another week and another one of decent enough weather, for us to be enjoying the great outdoors. This is turning out to be some settled spell that has spanned the back-end of Spring and continued into Summer. It is however, time we had some rain. Shhhhhh not too loudly.

Thursday: Hazy sunny spells across the region and feeling warm and humid. Dry with light winds. Max 21°C

Friday: More in the way of cloud. Warm with bright spells at times, best in the west. Feeling muggy. Max 19°C

Weekend: Remaining warm, settled but not necessarily dry for all.

Saturday: Cloudy with some bright spells. Chance of a few showers especially in the west which could be thundery. Max 19°C

Sunday: Bright spells with a chance of an isolated shower but most places dry again. A little warmer and humid. Max 21°C

Outlook: Sunny spells but becoming cooler as winds turn northwesterly. Some rain or showers look possible later in the week and the settled weather pattern might finally be changing. Watch this space.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for up-to-date forecasts.

Remember at this time of year the sun is very strong, UV levels are HIGH at 7, so apply sun-cream if you’re planning to be out in it for a while, otherwise you will burn regardless of what the temperature is.

Thanks,

Jon

Forecast issued on Wednesday the 6th of June at 5pm.

Thursday 31st May 2018 – Sunday 3rd June 2018

Hi all,

Well what a month May has been! We’ve had decent weather for the majority of the month, with plenty of sunshine and drier-than-average conditions. I will tweet the statistics on Friday. Long may it continue I say, although I suspect we will pay for this in the coming “summer” months. Speaking of summer. Meteorologically-speaking that is, it starts on Friday!

Thursday: Mostly cloudy to start but some sunny spells will break through. It will be warm and humid with a chance of a shower early and also, which is more likely, later in the day. Perhaps a localised thunderstorm into the evening. Max 22°C

Friday: Early bright spells will be replaced by heavy, possibly thundery showers moving up from the south. Some will catch them, some will again miss out. Still feeling muggy. Max 22°C

Weekend: A lot of cloud to start but remaining warm. Sunnier later, as high pressure builds again.

Saturday: Bright spells developing in some places and it should remain dry after any early-morning showers clear. Feeling a little fresher. Max 20°C

Sunday: A bit warmer again with sunny spells developing quite widely and dry. Max 22°C

Looking ahead: The set-up stays the same. Warm and sometimes muggy air with some thunderstorms drifting over from France.

Outlook: Remaining warm, temperatures hovering between the high-teens and early 20s. We will also see plenty of sunny spells but with the risk of a few thundery downpours drifting up from the south-east. With low pressure over France feeding up some these downpours over the coming days, they could be disruptive, so stay tuned on Twitter for updates.

Remember at this time of year the sun is as strong as early-July, UV levels are HIGH at 7, so apply sun-cream if you’re planning to be out in it for a while, otherwise you will burn regardless of what the temperature is.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast Issued at 7:20pm on Wednesday the 30th of May 2018
Image: http://wxcharts.eu

Thursday 24th May 2018 – Bank Holiday Monday 28th May 2018

Hi all,

You guys must be loving me at the moment. It’s not often I deliver good news but it’s another blog and another week of decent summer-like weather on the way, but, we have to discount Friday in that claim.

Remember at this time of year the sun is as strong as mid-July, UV levels are HIGH at 6/7, so apply sun-cream if you’re planning to be out in it for a while, otherwise you will burn regardless of what the temperature is.

Thursday: Warm with bright spells and dry. We will still have the steady breeze from the northeast and with that, more cloud than we have been seeing recently. That said, it will still be feeling pleasant in any sunshine. Max 20°C

Friday: A day off from the decent weather. Cloudy with rain during the morning coming in from the east. Some of this could be heavy and thundery. A bit brighter later but with a few scattered beefy showers. Much cooler. Max 15°C

Extended Weekend: Sun-cream and BBQs are on the menu.

Saturday: Some cloud leftover from yesterday with perhaps a scattered early shower to start the day. The sun will get to work on this cloud, allowing it to break up and return us to what we are getting accustomed to. Sunny spells and dry for the rest of the day. Also, notably warmer again but still breezy. Max 20°C

ukmaxtemp

Sunday: Sunny and dry with temperatures rising. Feeling muggy and humid later as we drag in air from France. Hot in places. Max 24°C but this could go a degree or two higher.

Bank Holiday Monday: Very warm with plenty of strong sunshine. A chance of evening thunderstorms breaking out [one to watch]. Max 23°C

Throughout the forecast we will keep a steady breeze which will help you to cool off during the day but also make it a little cool in some of the evenings.

Outlook: Downpours and thunderstorms will introduce fresher air but this should be followed by sunny spells and mainly dry conditions once again.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for the latest forecasts.

Thanks,
Jon

Forecast issued at 8:10pm on Wednesday the 23rd of May 2018
Image: https://www.netweather.tv/

 

Thursday 17th May 2018 – Sunday 20th May 2018

Hi all,

May is turning out to be a decent month and this settled, warm pattern with little rain, is set to continue. I’m sure we will pay for this during the summer months so grab it while you can.

Thursday: Still not as warm as earlier in the week but a good day in prospect. Sunny spells with yesterday’s breeze easing. Max 15°C

Friday: Settled with lengthy spells of sunshine. Temperatures back on the rise. Max 17°C

Weekend: Simply lovely.

Saturday: Warm with sunshine across the region. Light winds so really feeling summer-like. Max 21°C

Sunday: Little change. Just probably more in the way of cloud bubbling up especially so in eastern parts. Warm and dry. Max 21°C

Outlook: Similar to last Wednesday on Monday with cloud spreading down from the northwest. This will bring a very weak band of rain which will fizzle out. It will turn cooler though. After that high pressure reestablishes itself so we will be dry and become warmer again with sunny spells.

Looking towards the Bank Holiday Weekend and it currently pans out with high pressure in charge which means warm sunny weather – but don’t take this literally this far out.

Remember at this time of year the sun is as strong as late-July, UV levels are HIGH at 6, so apply sun-cream if you’re planning to be out in it for a while, otherwise you will burn regardless of what the temperature is.

Follow @ChadWeather on Twitter for frequent updates.

Forecast issued at 5:45pm on Wednesday the 16th of May 2018.

Thanks,
Jon